John Winters wrote <snip> > > To provide some idea of how I approach this kind of thing visit my > non-commercial web page > http://home.ican.net/~735769/safety.htm that provides a way of estimating > the danger of a given paddling situation. I hope you find it helpful. I also > would appreciate your comments. > ======= John's notion that *Rating Guide for Sea Kayaking Conditions* can be formulated as *Rating = Sum of risk values for each condition* seems well thought out and useful to me. However i propose that injection of kaos into the computation might make it more likely to include the uncertainty that we often encounter. risk value for kaos = standard deviation of all other *relevant* risk values. hence kaos risk increases when the relevant riks values are divergent... Uncertain World Rating = John's Rating + Kaos risk value. No change to the Rating Tables. What do you think John? yes to kaos value or no to kaos value. bye bye bliven *************************************************************************** PaddleWise Paddling Mailing List - All postings copyright the author and not to be reproduced outside PaddleWise without author's permission Submissions: paddlewise_at_lists.intelenet.net Subscriptions: paddlewise-request_at_lists.intelenet.net Website: http://www.paddlewise.net/ ***************************************************************************Received on Tue Nov 09 1999 - 18:13:27 PST
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