RE: [Paddlewise] Sea Kayaker attrition rate

Where could I find a copy of these guidelines?
Are they on the Paddlewise Page, by any chance?

THANKS,
Hal

-----Original Message-----
From:	Jerry Hawkins [SMTP:jhawkins_at_cisco.com]
Sent:	den 2 juni 2000 00:20
To:	NEWTOT_at_mail.modot.state.mo.us; PaddleWise
Subject:	Re: [Paddlewise] Sea Kayaker attrition rate

Yes,

There was a discussion around a set of guidelines which attempted to 
objectively rate the risk of seakayaking.  The model concentrated on the 
conditions, which is great, and helps classify the event as SK1, ... SK6.

Some of the factors considered were wind speed, current, distance from 
shore, tidal changes and expected time to rescue.

What is missing, of course, is an objective way to rate the kayaker or 
group of kayakers.

The charts were very helpful for me.  There were combinations of things I 
was doing, without realizing how they geometrically increased the risk 
factors.  (For example, I'm ok with a 15 kt wind.  I'm ok 3 miles from 
shore.  I'm ok kayaking alone.  I'm ok in a 2 kt current.  Combine all 
these at once and I'm up in SK4 conditions that I probably should not be 
out in alone.  Change that route to nearer the bridge (shorter crossing) or 
further down the bay (lesser currents) and the safety rating comes back to 
a modest SK2 or 3.)

Unfortunately, each person has to discover for himself what his own limits 
are.  One's skills are improved by testing them in difficult conditions. 
Headstrong people will continue to overestimate their own abilities and 
underestimate the hazard presented by the sea.

jerry.

At 03:55 PM 06/01/2000 -0500, NEWTOT_at_mail.modot.state.mo.us wrote:
>Hello,
>I'm new to the list, so this may be an old topic, but has the group 
discussed
>the "RULES OF ADVENTURE" in Nat'l Geographic 's Adventure magazine?  There 
is a
>good table that allows one to both estimate and eliminate risk, based on 
all the
>mountaineering accidents.  It is general enough to apply to anything. 
 This
>table has become my golden rule.  It was in the winter issue and I could
>probably type and post the table if interested....
>
>
>Tim
>CD Squall, Necky Looksha IV
>
>
>
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