Re: [Paddlewise] Global Warming = fact!

From: R. Walker <rwwalker_at_txucom.net>
Date: Tue, 12 Dec 2000 15:43:18 -0600
> No scientist denies, no SCIENTIST, that global warming exists.  There is
> considerable disagreement about the rate of change and why the earths
> temperature is rising and what to do about it.  

You know what disturbs me the most about this whole thing....  Scientist have this 
wierd idea that if they suggest a "cure" for something, the whole world will rally to 
enact the cure, and that the compliance rate with the "cure" will be adquately high.  
It probably is possible for the US, Japan, and maybe Western Europe to comply 
with a suggested "cure"; on the other hand it is extremely naive to believe that 
China, Russia, Mexico, Brazil, the Congo, Egypt, India, Pakistan, { ad a bunch...}, 
would even come close to compliance.   They *might* be encouraged to pass laws, 
but they will be observed only in the breech.  Thus, global warming is not only 
going to happen, it is unavoidable.   [prove me wrong, please]. 

Since I believe that global warming is unavoidable, I have a different set of questions 
that no one is attempting to answer right now.   What possible adaptations can we 
make to OFFSET the economic and social consequences that will be happening 
over the next few centuries.   Can we grow citrus in Tennesee?  Can North Dakota 
have a winter wheat crop?  Can Texas and Florida produce and sustain tropical 
agriculture?  Can the federal BLM and FS buy up land below 20 ft MSL to reduce 
future development in areas that will be innundated?   I figure if the feds can dish 
out hundreds of billions in checks to various beneficiaries, surely a couple billion a 
year for land acquisition could be set aside throughout the next century.

To me, all the scientists suggesting "reduce that", "change that" are acting like the 
king who stood before the tide and proclaimed that it should stay back.  [Yeah, I 
know the actual story, but it still makes a good visualization].  The tide came 
despite all his human authority.  Had he invested his entire army into stopping the 
tide, he would still have failed.  Had he spent every last resource of his kingdom, he 
still would have failed.   Global warming is simply an irrevocable, unavoidable fact 
that we might as well figure out how to adapt to.  While we are at it, we might as 
well also try to anticipate any opportunities that it may provide.

Reason why the US should not sign, nor ratify KYOTO?  Simple.  Kyoto will not 
even make a dent in stopping global warming.   Reason: See list above of countries 
that will {collectively and some individually] far outstrip our emission levels in the 
coming century.  We should use our resources to analyze, predict, compensate, 
and adapt to the new climate patterns.


Richard Walker
Conroe, TX
http://people.txucom.net/~rwwamtek/kayak_log.html

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Received on Tue Dec 12 2000 - 15:18:26 PST

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