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From: Ashton Treadway <ashton_at_tundra.org>
subject: [Paddlewise] Puget-sound area paddlers...
Date: Wed, 28 Feb 2001 15:04:38 -0500 (EST)
Here's hoping all of our members in the Seattle area are safe and sound.

-ashton

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From: Jackie Fenton <jackie_at_intelenet.net>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Puget-sound area paddlers...
Date: Wed, 28 Feb 2001 12:31:47 -0800 (PST)
For those not aware of what Ashton is referring to, a 7.0 earthquake
has been reported in the Pacific Northwest. 

for more details, see:

http://www.foxnews.com/national/022801/seattle_quake.sml

Hey, Doug.  Were you on the water at the time? 

Tsunami warning has been canceled (according to Fox news... I didn't
even know there had been a tsunami warning issued).  

Jackie


> From: Ashton Treadway <ashton_at_tundra.org>
> 
> Here's hoping all of our members in the Seattle area are safe and sound.
> 
> -ashton

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From: Melissa Reese <melissa_at_bonnyweeboaty.net>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Puget-sound area paddlers...
Date: Wed, 28 Feb 2001 12:58:58 -0800
<melissa sits at her 'puter, wearing her PFD>

On 02/28/2001 at 12:31 PM Jackie Fenton wrote:

>For those not aware of what Ashton is referring to, a 7.0 earthquake
>has been reported in the Pacific Northwest.

-snip- 
>
>Hey, Doug.  Were you on the water at the time? 

Hello there!  Melissa here, emerging from "deep lurk mode".  I do
hope Doug and family (and everyone else here in the beautiful PNW)
are all fine.  I was actually getting ready to go out on the water
myself, and came in the house to find out where it was centered (and
to gather up kitty and 'cello - just in case).  When I found out it
was centered near Olympia (south of Seattle), I relaxed a bit, as
that pretty much reassured me that there wouldn't be a Tsunami.
However - boaty is *always* ready to surf!  :-)  Seriously though - I
always have my "earthquake kit" ready and in my car, and with cat,
'cello, and boaty always at the ready to head inland if need be.

Looking at the surf as I type, it looks normal enough. 

>
>Tsunami warning has been canceled (according to Fox news... I didn't
>even know there had been a tsunami warning issued).  

There weren't any Tsunami sirens going locally (Copalis Beach/Ocean
Shores/Westport).
  
And From: Ashton Treadway <ashton_at_tundra.org>
>> 
>> Here's hoping all of our members in the Seattle area are safe and
sound.

Thank you Ashton.  I'm out on the outer WA coast, but I know there
are many Paddlewisers (and non PW paddlers too!) in
Seattle/Tacoma/Olympia area.  I too, hope they're all fine.

Melissa



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From: Jack Fu <SeaDogJack_at_cablespeed.com>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Puget-sound area paddlers...
Date: Wed, 28 Feb 2001 14:32:38 -0800
Not much damage here where I live in Seattle.

The geologists are telling us that because the quake center was very
deep, we probably won't get any aftershocks. (Just the same, I plan to
sleep in my car tonight!)

Jack Fu

----- Original Message -----
From: Jackie Fenton <jackie_at_intelenet.net>
To: <paddlewise_at_paddlewise.net>
Sent: Wednesday, February 28, 2001 12:31 PM
Subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Puget-sound area paddlers...


> For those not aware of what Ashton is referring to, a 7.0 earthquake
> has been reported in the Pacific Northwest.
>
> for more details, see:
>
> http://www.foxnews.com/national/022801/seattle_quake.sml
>
> Hey, Doug.  Were you on the water at the time?
>
> Tsunami warning has been canceled (according to Fox news... I didn't
> even know there had been a tsunami warning issued).
>
> Jackie
>
>
> > From: Ashton Treadway <ashton_at_tundra.org>
> >
> > Here's hoping all of our members in the Seattle area are safe and sound.
> >
> > -ashton
>
>
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>
>

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From: John Fereira <jaf30_at_cornell.edu>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Puget-sound area paddlers...
Date: Thu, 01 Mar 2001 10:46:57 -0500
At 02:32 PM 2/28/01 -0800, Jack Fu wrote:
>Not much damage here where I live in Seattle.
>
>The geologists are telling us that because the quake center was very
>deep, we probably won't get any aftershocks. (Just the same, I plan to
>sleep in my car tonight!)

Just don't park it near a brick building, okay.

I've been following the reports about the PNW quake somewhat because
I'm noticing several difference between this one and the Loma Prieta
quake in 1989 even though the magnitude was nearly the same.  The
depth on the Loma Prieta quake was 11 miles and that seems to have
made a big difference.  I lived 10 miles from it's epicenter and
felt a *lot* of aftershocks, a couple of which in the 5.0 range.
The scariest time was after the 7.1 quake just waiting for the
next aftershock, and more specifically wondering when they were
actually going to stop.  The waiting lasted for several weeks.

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From: Wayne Smith <wsmith_at_cts.com>
subject: [Paddlewise] Puget-sound area
Date: Wed, 28 Feb 2001 12:24:53 -0800
According to the earthquake web page - There are a couple of earthquakes around
the Loma Linda, CA location within the past couple of minutes ...

Maybe the big one, is on the way ??

Wayne
---------------

Ashton Treadway wrote:

> Here's hoping all of our members in the Seattle area are safe and sound.
>
> -ashton


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From: Dave Uebele <daveu_at_sptddog.com>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Puget-sound area paddlers...
Date: Thu, 01 Mar 2001 09:33:42 -0800
As someone that was in both the Loma Prieta quake and the recent
quake centered between Tacoma and Olympia. The recent quake didn't seem
as intense. The period of really intense shaking wasn't as long or 
quite as intense.  PNW quakes seem to have a different
quality, there is usually a much longer duration gentle rolling quality
to the last part of the quake. 

You also don't notice a lot of the smaller PNW quakes, it needs to be at
least a 5.+ to even get any notice.  No noticable aftershocks to
the PNW quake yet, while for the Loma Prieta quake, there were a
lot of aftershocks. A neighbor was on vacation, and there were enough
aftershocks that his car alarm was almost continually getting
re-triggered until someone disconnected his battery (to save his battery
and everyone elses nerves). Also not as wide spread power failures
with the PNW quake.  Maybe I've just become more relaxed about natural
disasters. Worse case, dig out the camping gear and camp out at or
near your house. At least having a spare bed, lighting, and stove...

Anyone with a knowledge of the different types of plates between
the two areas care to comment (off list) about how the nature of
the faults is different?

Getting far from paddle oriented stuff...

Some of the paddles and gear in the garage fell over, still going around
and picking stuff up. I haven't closely checked the kayaks that were resting
in the rafters of the barn yet, A quick check in there didn't show them
on the floor.  Suspension from the rafters is probably a good storage
location during a quake, perhaps with a bow and stern line
to prevent a kayak from turning into a mini battering ram and punching
a hole in a wall...
Hmm, earthquake lashing for gear in storage (it was just leaned against the
wall). Is it overkill?  Maybe we a really expensive, lightweight carbon fiber
paddle, I might make sure its more secure in storage, yeah, if I had
such a paddle...

dave


John Fereira wrote:
> 
> I've been following the reports about the PNW quake somewhat because
> I'm noticing several difference between this one and the Loma Prieta
> quake in 1989 even though the magnitude was nearly the same.  The
> depth on the Loma Prieta quake was 11 miles and that seems to have
> made a big difference.  I lived 10 miles from it's epicenter and
> felt a *lot* of aftershocks, a couple of which in the 5.0 range.
> The scariest time was after the 7.1 quake just waiting for the
> next aftershock, and more specifically wondering when they were
> actually going to stop.  The waiting lasted for several weeks.
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From: Kevin Whilden <kevin_at_yourplanetearth.org>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Puget-sound area paddlers...
Date: Thu, 1 Mar 2001 13:57:26 -0800
----- Original Message -----
From: "Dave Uebele" <daveu_at_sptddog.com>
Subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Puget-sound area paddlers...


> As someone that was in both the Loma Prieta quake and the recent
> quake centered between Tacoma and Olympia. The recent quake didn't seem
> as intense. The period of really intense shaking wasn't as long or
> quite as intense.  PNW quakes seem to have a different
> quality, there is usually a much longer duration gentle rolling quality
> to the last part of the quake.
>
> Anyone with a knowledge of the different types of plates between
> the two areas care to comment (off list) about how the nature of
> the faults is different?
>

The quake yesterday (which my house in Seattle survived with zero damage
except for scaring my cat into a fern bush) was a deep inter-plate quake on
the boundary of the North American continental plate and the Juan de Fuca
oceanic plate. As you all should know from geology 101 (grin), the Juan de
Fuca plate is subducting under the NA plate, which means that is diving
under and eventually melting into oblivion into the Mantle. Some of the
melted plate rises upward and forms the multiple stratovolcanos in Cascadia
(e.g. Mt. Rainier, Mt. St. Helens, Mt. Shasta, etc).  It's a shallow angle
subduction zone, so the quake was 100 miles inland from the coast and 30
miles deep. It's the depth of the quake that limited the impact, because
much of the high frequency shaking energy was attenuated by travelling 30
miles underground to reach the surface. There is nothing special about
quakes in the PNW that makes them less mild, except for the location of this
particular one. There are shallow faults in the PNW, such as the Seattle
fault which has a potential for a magnitude 7 tremblor. This would be very
similar in character to the Loma Prieta quake. Or the quake could occur at a
shallow portion of the subducting plate towards the coast, also giving rise
to much more destructive energy. In fact, this is a very scary thought,
because that kind of quake would likely be of magnitude 8-9 causing awesome
destruction not to mention severe tsunamis. The last time this happened was
in 1700 according to tree-ring records and the recording of a correlated
tsunami in Japan. The period of such quakes is about 300 years on average
(*gulp*), with variations between 200 to 600 years so don't hold your breath
waiting for it.

Technically, the quake yesterday was on a thrust-fault while the Loma Prieta
was on a strike-slip fault. But the major difference destructive energy was
caused by the depth of the epicenter. Both quakes occur on inter-plate
boundaries. The San Andreas fault is the boundary between the NA continental
plate and the Pacific oceanic plate -- these plates are just sliding by each
other. The Juan de Fuca plate is sandwiched between the NA and Pacific
plates, and is being subducted under the NA plate.

Cheers,
kevin

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From: <DANJW_at_aol.com>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Puget-sound area paddlers...
Date: Thu, 1 Mar 2001 18:49:55 EST
 Anyone with a knowledge of the different types of plates between
> the two areas care to comment (off list) about how the nature of
> the faults is different?

For those whose interest in geology has been piqued by this event, I would 
recommend some books by John McPhee. His name has come up before on this list 
as the author of "Survival Of The Birchbark Canoe". He has written several 
very interesting and readable books about the geology of the US. They are, 
(if I recall correctly) "Basin And Range", "Arising From The Plains", and 
"Assembling California". There is also another recently published which 
includes the three mentioned as well as some other articles. Very good 
geology for the layman, not at all dry, but written from an interesting 
perspective.

Dan Williams, whose feet are firmly planted on the geologically stable craton 
of Wisconsin, just waitin' for the ice to melt.
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From: Peter A. Chopelas <pac_at_premier1.net>
subject: RE: [Paddlewise] Puget-sound area paddlers...
Date: Fri, 2 Mar 2001 17:41:32 -0800
Apologies in advance if this is off topic but there are a lot PWers 
affected by the recent event:

I have always found it interesting that some of the most seismically active 
areas of the world are also the most populated.  The Mediterranean, 
California, Japan, etc.  Thinking about it is likely because these areas 
would have more and better harbors, more mineral resources and always have 
the most breathtaking views and scenic wonders.  Indeed it is the natural 
beauty that attracts many people to the Pacific Northwest and Alaska as 
both a place to live and as a vacation destination, including sea kayaker. 
 But beware, the beautiful irregular sea scapes and spectacular mountains 
got that way because of the powerful geologic forces that formed them.

I am a Professional Engineer and most of my life is spent doing seismic 
analysis and geotechnical investigation and inspections in the Puget Sound 
area on buildings and other structures and I have my own perspective on 
this.  I have a lot of local geologic reference materials about the Puget 
Sound area for my work, and I have also spent my school years and much of 
my life in Southern California as well.

There is nothing different about earthquakes in the Puget Sound and Los 
Angeles areas, both areas are surrounded by mountains, both are along the 
Pacific "Ring of Fire", both are seismically active.  If there is any 
difference it is just that some of them in PS are deep, but we also get 
many more destructive shallow earthquakes as well.  Also much of the Puget 
Sound basin can be liquefaction prone, fine grain alluvial outwash 
saturated with high water tables.  These kinds of soils exaggerate the 
accelerations and are far less predictable.  The fact that this recent 
event did not kill anyone is pure luck.

I calculated that if this last event was at 5 miles deep, which is much 
more common, instead of 30 miles it would have released 36 times (that is 
3600 percent!) more destructive energy at the surface.  Needless to say 
there would not have been much of Seattle, Tacoma, and Olympia left.  All 
of the older historic unrienforced masonry buildings would have been 
totally destroyed, since I have inspected many like them I am actually very 
surprised they are still standing at all even with the deep event.

The Puget Sound area routinely has about 40 earthquakes a month, most are 
small and not noticed or are in remote, unpopulated areas which is actually 
most of Western Washington (despite what many in the area think,  we are 
not crowed here, we are compacted into only a few high population density 
areas, but the truth is the whole state of Washington has only about half 
of the population which live within the city limits of Los Angeles alone, 
never mind LA county or even the whole LA metro area).

I think it is because of this low population over most of the area that 
many have the false perception there is a much lower earthquake hazard in 
this area than California, and many have lobbied for, and we now have, much 
less rigorous seismic codes.  And the kind of incredibly stupid and 
incompetent lawmakers we have around here would probably do the wrong thing 
even if they understood we had a problem.  We currently build to a seismic 
zone 3 (approx. magnitude 6.5 event), I think we should be building to 
seismic zone 4 requirements (approx. mag 7.5) as they do in California. 
 Even so most (but not all) Building Officials, architects, engineers, and 
builders do not know what they are doing anyway so adequate enforcement is 
another problem.

There are usually smaller remote buildings damaged or destroyed by 
earthquakes in this area about every three years!  Since there is almost 
never injures or deaths, and isolated to the remote areas, people forget 
and do not perceive this as a real danger.
Yet during the recent geologic history of the area there have been over 18 
events over mag 5.0, including 4 over 6.5 with two being the very 
destructive shallow types.  One of the largest of these was a near surface 
event of mag 7.4 that was centered only about 30 miles east of where I am 
in Arlington (about 60 miles North of Seattle).  Needless to say I designed 
and built my own house to meet a much higher standard than the building 
codes require.

Interesting, despite the property damage, even severe earthquakes in the 
United States have never caused a lot of deaths, unlike many third world 
countries.  Even so it  causes a lot of panic in people, but historically 
your chances of getting killed in a major seismic event is almost 
non-existent.  What is over 100,000 times more likely to kill you are 
things you have control over, what you eat, smoke, if you wear your seat 
belt in your car, wear a helmet on your bike, or do really stupid things in 
your sea kayak.

But if you live in a seismically active area you will almost certainly 
sooner or later suffer property damage, and at the very least be greatly 
inconvenienced.

Peter
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