According to the ACA Report, Table 13 below, roughly equal numbers of novice paddler and experienced paddler fatalities were tabulated in this study, giving the false impression that novice and experienced paddlers are dying at the same rate. The counts have not been adjusted for total hours of risk exposure per paddler, nor has the data been adjusted for degree of severity of environment in which each paddler has been operating. Clearly this data should be adjusted for total risk exposure, just as a cancer patient would be. I find this table terribly misleading. Table 13: Canoe and Kayak Fatalities by Operator Experience 1996-2002 ----------------------------------- | Hours | Per Cent | ----------------------------------- | <10 hours | 29% | ----------------------------------- | 10-100 hours | 39% | ----------------------------------- | over 100 hours | 31% | ----------------------------------- Source: USCG Recreational Boating Accident Report Database (BARD) 1996-2002 -- Bradford R. Crain *************************************************************************** PaddleWise Paddling Mailing List - Any opinions or suggestions expressed here are solely those of the writer(s). You must assume the entire responsibility for reliance upon them. All postings copyright the author. Submissions: PaddleWise_at_PaddleWise.net Subscriptions: PaddleWise-request_at_PaddleWise.net Website: http://www.paddlewise.net/ ***************************************************************************Received on Sun Jan 20 2008 - 19:43:06 PST
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