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From: Tord S. Eriksson <tord_at_mindless.com>
subject: [Paddlewise] Point of no return
Date: Fri, 9 May 2008 07:33:08 -0500
Point of no return is in aeronautics, the point where there is no turning back,
and is a very important idea, that can well be applied to paddling, and
a lot of other endeavors. The trick is to be aware of when you've reached it
and do the right thing - not always easy!


As a group leader the hardest job can be to decide that it is time to
abort a trip (due to weather, wind, participants less than prime
physique/skill, equipment failure, et cetera), as some in the group 
will think that it just too early, due to ego, invested money/time, 
et cetera, while others might well be so far beyond the point where 
they can reason clearly, due to exhaustion, hypothermia, et cetera, 
that they too can come to the same conclusion.

How do you handle such incidences?!

Do you let the group split up, or what?!

Tord



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From: Brad Crain <crainb_at_pdx.edu>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Point of no return
Date: Fri, 9 May 2008 07:16:42 -0700
Point of no return applies as well to hiking. The trick is to figure out
when to turn around in order to return to the trailhead by the
appointed time. If miscalculation or no calculation occurs, one
may have the opportunity to spend the night in the cold, dark, wet
woods, and possibly drive some friends and family frantic. Has
anyone ever spent an unplanned night in the wilderness?

Brad

On Friday, May 09, 2008 5:33 AM Tord wrote

> Point of no return is in aeronautics, the point where there is no turning 
> back,
> and is a very important idea, that can well be applied to paddling, and
> a lot of other endeavors. The trick is to be aware of when you've reached 
> it
> and do the right thing - not always easy!
>
>
> As a group leader the hardest job can be to decide that it is time to
> abort a trip (due to weather, wind, participants less than prime
> physique/skill, equipment failure, et cetera), as some in the group
> will think that it just too early, due to ego, invested money/time,
> et cetera, while others might well be so far beyond the point where
> they can reason clearly, due to exhaustion, hypothermia, et cetera,
> that they too can come to the same conclusion.
>
> How do you handle such incidences?!
>
> Do you let the group split up, or what?!
>
> Tord
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From: Dave Kruger <kdruger_at_pacifier.com>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Point of no return
Date: Fri, 09 May 2008 07:31:21 -0700
Tord S. Eriksson wrote:

> As a group leader the hardest job can be to decide that it is time to
> abort a trip (due to weather, wind, participants less than prime
> physique/skill, equipment failure, et cetera), as some in the group 
> will think that it just too early, due to ego, invested money/time, 
> et cetera, while others might well be so far beyond the point where 
> they can reason clearly, due to exhaustion, hypothermia, et cetera, 
> that they too can come to the same conclusion.
> 
> How do you handle such incidences?!
> 
> Do you let the group split up, or what?!

If I am the leader, I insist all remain together until anyone who is 
incapacitated is safely on shore, accompanied by a buddy who is not 
impaired.  Those are the only circumstances in which I would split the 
party because of inability to paddle with the others.  Sometimes I will 
allow a split of there is a competent leader to handle the other bunch, and 
conditions are benighn.

BTW, if I am not aware some are becoming hypothermic well before they are 
impaired, I have failed as a leader (or, one of my helpers has).  I should 
be communicating with everyone as we go, checking affect, responsiveness, 
and attitude, so I do not get surprised with a situation like that.

The above applies under normal circumstances.  In desperate circumstances, 
I'd have to decide then what to do.

-- 
Dave Kruger
Astoria, OR
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From: Craig Jungers <crjungers_at_gmail.com>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Point of no return
Date: Fri, 9 May 2008 09:37:12 -0700
On Fri, May 9, 2008 at 5:33 AM, Tord S. Eriksson <tord_at_mindless.com> wrote:

>
> How do you handle such incidences?!
>
> Do you let the group split up, or what?!
>
>
The "point of no return" for an aircraft is generally for a flight over
water or where there are no suitable emergency landing places (like the
arctic or large desert area) and has to do with available fuel. It's the
point at which you *must* continue on as turning around will surely result
in running out of fuel and a subsequent emergency landing. But it's not
always a fuel issue: The "point of no return" for General Billy Mitchel and
his group of B-25s that flew on a mission from aircraft carriers in the
north Pacific across Japan and landed in China was immediately upon takeoff.
There was no return for those bombers to the aircraft carriers from which
they launched.

So the "point of no return" might not be halfway to your destination.

The "point of no return" for some kayakers might be just after the launch
where strong currents may soon preclude a return to that beach. Or it might
be when the tide changes. In other words, kayakers may face that "point"
sooner than they think.

Since I most often paddle solo, I don't have a lot of experience in keeping
a group together. But recognizing the "point" is probably a good idea that
lots of us don't think about in any specific way. If we think about it
during trip planning - even if we're just standing on the beach - it gives
us a chance to think through our "escape plan". We may have only minutes
available to return to that spot... or we might not be able to at all.
Whatever the case, if we recognize the issue early we can deal with it
better if there is an urgent ("drat, I left all the food in the trunk")
reason to get back.

A perfect example of "point of no return" in Puget Sound is the commonly
taken Anacortes (Washington Park) paddle to Friday Harbor via the southern
end of Lopez Island and Cattle Pass. This is a popular paddle for clubs
because the ferry ride from Friday Harbor (on San Juan Island) to Anacortes
is free of charge. It involves making use of the sometimes brisk tidal
currents and also involves timing those currents to ride the ebb to the area
off Cattle Pass (the southern passage between San Juan Island and Lopez
Island) where one then wants the flood to move the group north through the
pass and on to Friday Harbor.

The "point of no return" for this trip is almost certainly when they move
into the current in Rosario Strait and it becomes difficult or impossible to
paddle back (even to Skyline Marina). One is pretty much committed from
there on until Mackay Harbor at the southern tip of Lopez Island (where most
paddlers on this trip pause for lunch and to await the flood).

But when it comes to tidal currents, the "point of no return" can become a
movable point. Consider the Anacortes to Friday Harbor trip. If you simply
*must* return to your launch point you can simply wait for the current to
change direction; which, inevitably, it will.

Nice point to be brought up and thought over, Tord.


Craig Jungers
Moses Lake, WA
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From: James Farrelly <JFarrelly5_at_comcast.net>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Point of no return
Date: Fri, 9 May 2008 12:54:53 -0400
I used to hunt with a Special Forces guy. We could both read maps and  
terrain well so it made for a fun partnership. He taught me something  
I have never heard anywhere else which was always have a panic  
azimuth. This amounted to pretty much a cardinal direction. When  
everything goes wrong what direction do you go so you can get back?  
We hunted the same area consistently so our panic azimuth was East.  
This would bring us back to a highway where we could turn right and  
eventually end up back in the campground parking lot.

Jim et al
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From: Steve Holtzman <seakayaker_at_sbcglobal.net>
subject: RE: [Paddlewise] Point of no return
Date: Fri, 9 May 2008 10:40:30 -0700
Jim said:

> He taught me something
> I have never heard anywhere else which was always have a panic
> azimuth. 

We do the same thing on the water. It's fairly easy for us, because
depending on which part of the Southern California Coastline we are
paddling, you can always either head north to hit the coast or east to hit
it.

Finding a decent landing spot maybe a bit more difficult though.

Steve Holtzman
 

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From: Doug Lloyd <douglloyd_at_shaw.ca>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Point of no return
Date: Fri, 09 May 2008 17:57:40 -0700
A point of no return is rare in sea kayaking in my understanding of the 
term. A building offshore gale where you venture out a bit too far, there's 
your point of no return. Not getting off the water at an avaliable haul-out 
and contiunuing down an exposed coast with high wind and waves due part way 
before the next haul-out or the one you passed prior, could be a point of no 
return once you pass that first egress despite forecast warnings or 
whatever. Sometimes a point of no return isn't one you can reasonably 
forcast or forsee enough to stop you dead in your tracks, but then we are 
now into measured risk, which we all have differing tolerances for and 
levels we're willing to accept.

Tidal currents are obviously a point of no return instigator, and often get 
paddlers of all levels if unaccounted for. Developing jumbled water may be a 
point of no return for timid paddlers - while joy for others. So much is 
skill dependent. Where I tend to make my point of no return prognostications 
are in a group setting where there is just too much variability in paddling 
speed, ability to stay upright, equipment and outfitting differences, and 
variable levels of inhibiting anxiety.

If I go too far im my car down a logging road I'll reach a point of no 
return with insufficient gas. When I bite off more ocean than I can chew, I 
slowly dehydrate, cramp up, fall into a caloric energy deficit perhaps, but 
may never reach an actual point of no return, as I'm either still willing to 
push myself, which in small ways, I enjoy. My point of no return is when I'm 
dead, which hasn't happened yet. Either luck or a certain wiliness has got 
me where I am, but that ain't necessarily good seamanship or responsibleness 
to others and community. I'm working on it.

Doug L




> Point of no return is in aeronautics, the point where there is no turning 
> back,
> and is a very important idea, that can well be applied to paddling, and
> a lot of other endeavors. The trick is to be aware of when you've reached 
> it
> and do the right thing - not always easy!
>
>
> As a group leader the hardest job can be to decide that it is time to
> abort a trip (due to weather, wind, participants less than prime
> physique/skill, equipment failure, et cetera), as some in the group
> will think that it just too early, due to ego, invested money/time,
> et cetera, while others might well be so far beyond the point where
> they can reason clearly, due to exhaustion, hypothermia, et cetera,
> that they too can come to the same conclusion.
>
> How do you handle such incidences?!
>
> Do you let the group split up, or what?!
>
> Tord
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From: Darryl <Darryl.Johnson_at_sympatico.ca>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Point of no return
Date: Fri, 09 May 2008 22:16:53 -0400
> A point of no return is rare in sea kayaking in my understanding of
> the 
> term.
> 
> Doug L
> 
> 
> 
> 
> > Point of no return is in aeronautics, the point where there is no
> turning 
> > back,
> > and is a very important idea, that can well be applied to
> paddling, and
> > a lot of other endeavors. The trick is to be aware of when you've
> reached 
> > it
> > and do the right thing - not always easy!
> >
> >
> > Tord

The Point of No Return, in aviation, is a clearly defined one. Based 
on fuel on board, if I understand the term correctly.

In many other endeavours, the PONR is not clearly defined. And may 
even be a meaningless term in some instances. I posit one example 
where a group is paddling across some distance of water in good 
weather. One of the paddlers suddenly, and without prior warning, 
develops a debilitating case of motion sickness and is unable to 
continue. I would suggest you are now *past* the PONR. And nothing 
much you can do about it except deal with the situation as best you 
can.

In fact, one could say that as long as you *do* deal with it, and 
there is no loss of life, there was no real "no return" involved. You 
indeed did return, albeit not as you would have liked.

But the concept is still worthwhile because it might instil in some 
paddlers an awareness of the situation they are in. Should they turn 
back? Make for an alternate landing? Press on? Call for help?....

While not a "no return" point, there are many "points" at which 
decisions need to be made, and it is all the better to be aware of 
the possibilities ahead of time. (I think.)

If someone is injured or sick, what's the closest safe landing site? 
What is the best landmark to use to assist S&R to find you in the 
event of a rescue being required? Etc.

Anything that helps generate a safety-oriented mindset is all the 
good, I say.

-- 
  Darryl
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From: Doug Lloyd <douglloyd_at_shaw.ca>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Point of no return
Date: Fri, 09 May 2008 22:10:44 -0700
Very well said Darryl. Thank you!

I guess for me, there is a PONR in the vernacular of my everyday paddling, 
but it's not necessarily a pejorative term or black and white notion even. 
Typically, it will be at a point where I have to make a commitment. An 
example might be a long transit in thick coastal fog with an unfriendly 
shoreline for the immediate future to beam which I don't want to have to 
head for if things get bad, but the point of land or island I've set off 
from isn't something I'm going to be able to return to too easily.

As for general and specialized seamanship-related vigilance on a trip, I 
think this is what separates a good paddler from the rift-raft. A good 
paddler is always thinking ahead, always adjusting plans, mentally noting 
pull-out being passed - pocket beaches; always scanning the horizon keeping 
a weather eye open - or even one eye open if forecast reliability is keeping 
up with the coast. Playing the what if game, but in a state of relaxed 
mindfulness - part of the fun, part of the art, part of the preservation of 
self. The good paddler has already made allowance for sufficient number of 
days, etc; they have a buffer of time on their side if the windows of 
opportunity remain narrow. None of this is dependent on hard skills 
necessarily.

When the red flags do go up, and you keep pushing it or pushing your mates, 
then we have a preventable incident or tragedy in the making or perhaps an 
unfortunate (read should have been unnecessary) rescue call having to be 
placed. I've gotten better at keeping a mental tally of the number and size 
of red flags and the rapidity at which they are coming and can now generally 
say if I get into serious trouble, it is entirely my own fault. I may have a 
bigger comfort zone for red flags. Other paddlers may not even tolerate or 
sanction one. Go no go decisions and get of the water now decisions are easy 
for them. I pull myself of the water mentally kicking and screaming - or 
sometimes ordered off the water.

I'm more concerned with the paddler who is absolutely oblivious to red 
flags. These are often the ones who become sushi. Unlike some of my elitist 
friends in the higher echelons of the paddling community, I don't consider 
these paddlers idiots or stupid. They are just missing something in their 
thinking process. I'd like to find out more how and why and for what reasons 
there's this inability about those flapping flags. And I want to contribute 
something more than derisive commentary. My ying and yang are 
counterbalanced you see, but at extreme reaches of leverage. :-)

And I do worry with these new SPOT devices out now in wider use...that 
paddlers will undertake more committing off season trips with them. I worry 
that they may use such devices to replace the necessarily more proportional 
skills, quality equipment, training, and experience in lieu of such devices. 
"Oh, I'm stuck now on this forsaken shoreline, my hatch covers lost to the 
surf that I threw in the cockpit. Dang. Where's that 911 button?" Maybe the 
paddler should have secured and made seaworthy his craft as a priority 
first. All this remains to be seen. The seas around my neck of the woods can 
seriously chew you up off season on the open coast. Relentlessly so. I know. 
I'm surprised I made it to 50.

So, be patient grasshoppers, with unlimited time and patience you can 
transit any coast with enough time, but white people aren't that patient 
enough, it seems.

That's probably another discussion though.

Okay, back to my writing on someone who did die...

DL

>> A point of no return is rare in sea kayaking in my understanding of
>> the
>> term.
>>
>> Doug L
>>
>>
>>
>>
>> > Point of no return is in aeronautics, the point where there is no
>> turning
>> > back,
>> > and is a very important idea, that can well be applied to
>> paddling, and
>> > a lot of other endeavors. The trick is to be aware of when you've
>> reached
>> > it
>> > and do the right thing - not always easy!
>> >
>> >
>> > Tord
>
> The Point of No Return, in aviation, is a clearly defined one. Based
> on fuel on board, if I understand the term correctly.
>
> In many other endeavours, the PONR is not clearly defined. And may
> even be a meaningless term in some instances. I posit one example
> where a group is paddling across some distance of water in good
> weather. One of the paddlers suddenly, and without prior warning,
> develops a debilitating case of motion sickness and is unable to
> continue. I would suggest you are now *past* the PONR. And nothing
> much you can do about it except deal with the situation as best you
> can.
>
> In fact, one could say that as long as you *do* deal with it, and
> there is no loss of life, there was no real "no return" involved. You
> indeed did return, albeit not as you would have liked.
>
> But the concept is still worthwhile because it might instil in some
> paddlers an awareness of the situation they are in. Should they turn
> back? Make for an alternate landing? Press on? Call for help?....
>
> While not a "no return" point, there are many "points" at which
> decisions need to be made, and it is all the better to be aware of
> the possibilities ahead of time. (I think.)
>
> If someone is injured or sick, what's the closest safe landing site?
> What is the best landmark to use to assist S&R to find you in the
> event of a rescue being required? Etc.
>
> Anything that helps generate a safety-oriented mindset is all the
> good, I say.
>
> -- 
>  Darryl
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