[Paddlewise] RE; Winter in a time of Climate Change

From: Tord S. Eriksson <tord_at_mindless.com>
Date: Thu, 1 Jan 2009 06:21:46 -0500
Dave Kruger wrote:

"I think the thrust of Craig's elocutions is perhaps this:  place your trust
in folks with solid training in an area if you have none in that area; look
askance at all others who are not credentialed or willing to submit their
data and analysis to scientific scrutiny.  Here is a comparison:  Few of us
would attempt brain surgery on someone else without training; none of us
would dial up "brain surgery" on the internet and use the information in
the first 10 sites Google brings up to pop a skull and dig right in.  Yet,
many of us are content to cherry pick facts and analyses off a Google
search to fit a point of view we like or embrace in a huge, difficult arena
such as climate change.  That is seriously wrong.  In fact, it is probably
a form of neurotic behavior.  We do not need that kind of "debate" on a
serious issue like global warming."

Our brains are very selective, and we often get out of a text what we
want, not what it really says. 

Many years ago Gislaved, a tiny town in southern Sweden, needed a lot of 
labor for its big and successful tire plant (later bought, and closed 
down, by Continental). As there were no Swedes available, people from
Yugoslavia got imported, so pretty soon they consisted of a huge slice
of the working part of the population. Pretty soon tensions developed, 
not least by the fact that there were now a lot of young men without 
girl friends, so there was competition, and friction.

And soon word by mouth told the original inhabitants that not only 
took these fiends their girls, they lived on welfare, were in short
scum of the earth.

In reality, things were the other way round, the Yugoslavs were very 
diligent, saved and took better care of themselves than the Gislavedians
(if there is such a word). So the authorities put in adverts in the local
paper telling the population the truth, thinking it would defuse the tension.

Unusually, they did follow it up by interviewing a number of people, 
about what they thought about the information campaign, and if
their views had been changed.

None had, as both sides view had been reinforced: Those who hated 
Yugoslavs said that they had seen the adverts about the Yugoslavs 
and welfare, thus they hadn't really read what the adverts were 
about, or skipped the parts that didn't fit their views. Those 
who were liked the new style in town, with its slightly changed 
social life, with new restaurants, et cetera.

Those that had been influenced a little were those without any view
on the matter.

So while information, which a teacher can supply in loads, it 
isn't at all sure that it is worth the effort, as a child
is already selective in what he/she takes in.

A really clever demagogue can succeed in turning almost
anyones head, and all teachers we remember were real 
characters, often a bit odd, in one way or other,
but natural demagogues.

My dad was one of those popular teachers that inspired
lots, so when he died, the big church, was crammed by
hundreds of ex-students (and their spouses), some of 
them having become world authorities in subjects 
close to my dad's, which was mycology.

How he managed to I will never know, but he did.

They flew in from all over the world, cried and 
were very sad. We, his wife, and us children, were 
not, as we at last had been rid of the demented 
bastard, but that's another story!

Tord

PS Back to paddling ...




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Received on Thu Jan 01 2009 - 04:45:55 PST

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