Hello Tord and all, please let me put a little bit light into the Estonia case, because it is very widely discussed (I do not believe still living theories about a conspiracy). The number of casualties is about 800: mostly Swedes, Finns and Estonians. The ship had pretty huge construction and reconstruction problems in the bow visor - and took continuos beating onto the bow during the final night. There are no special information about a rogue wave, but rather interesting statistics (from the report, http://www.onnettomuustutkinta.fi/estonia/chapt13_1.html) : "The weather at the accident site at about 0100 hrs was rough but not extreme. The wind was south-westerly, mean velocity 18 - 20 m/s. Statistically, winds of such force occur five to ten times annually during the autumn and the winter in the northern Baltic Sea. The significant wave height was about 4 m. Generating a wave pattern with a significant wave height of this magnitude requires wind of 15 - 20 m/ s from S - SW for at least ten hours. Numerous studies of wave statistics show that, if the significant wave height is 4 m, one wave in a hundred will be higher than 6 m. A maximum wave height is estimated as twice the significant height. The weather forecast for the midnight hours predicted a significant wave height of only 2.5 to 3.5 m whereas the actual height was about one metre more. Even if the predictions had been correct, this would most likely not have changed the way the passage was conducted." I remember still the awful morning, receiving the first news and images of the disaster. Ari Saarto - navigare necesse est - http://asaarto1.blogspot.com/ On 1. syys 2009, at 01:17, Tord S. Eriksson wrote: > > The Estonia ferry, that killed about as many Swedes as the Tsunami, > or close to a thousand, also met a really big wave which ripped its > bow off - could a rogue appear in a lake (very big, an inland sea)? *************************************************************************** PaddleWise Paddling Mailing List - Any opinions or suggestions expressed here are solely those of the writer(s). You must assume the entire responsibility for reliance upon them. All postings copyright the author. Submissions: PaddleWise_at_PaddleWise.net Subscriptions: PaddleWise-request_at_PaddleWise.net Website: http://www.paddlewise.net/ ***************************************************************************Received on Mon Aug 31 2009 - 23:57:46 PDT
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