Craig: I think that the rules work best for tides and current through a large bay but fails at a really constricted entrance. I always thought the rule of 3rds was for tide height and the 50/90 for currents. As far as Deception Pass goes I suspect current speeds reach 90% of full speed within 1 hour of slack.B I agree that it seems to be flowing out in one place while flowing in somewhere else. No way in a small boat to be all over the place. I think I'll take the Zodiac and a GPS over there this summer as a project and find out. This question has nagged at me for 20 years at least. Paddling back and drifting through would be a pain in the butt in a kayak but a piece of cake (and probably fun) in a Zodiac. Rob: There is also a rule of 3rds for current. 33% at the end of the first hour 66% at the end of the second and the rest at the end of the 3rd hour. Doesn't work well around here in most places I've been. Rob: The sheer volume of water from Puget Sound and the southern Georgia Strait collides with the flood that usually sets against Vancouver Island. Most times I've been out the mouth of JDF it was this way. The ebb was still going strong while the flood was starting, albeit in mid channel. The one time I've been through the mouth of Icy Strait, we planned on the flood not helping us for 90 minutes prior to published flood. Sure enough, the rips in the Inian Islands were still going off. That's one time, though, hard to make a claim based on that, however looking at the chart for Icy Strait, there was no way all that water in there was going to come out nice and uniform. Craig: No but 90 minutes seems a bit long. I always give myself 30 minutes for slack water at any pass in a slow boat (like a sailboat or a fishing boat) and that seems to work. I bet the tugboat drivers could add a lot to this discussion. All the guys I knew have long since retired so I might have to chat one up some day given the chance. Rob: All the shipping I've seen are out in the lanes in mid channel. It wouldn't surprise me to be more uniform out there where the West Entrance buoy is. My observations are based on numerous trips from Neah Bay to Cape Flattery and watching the ebb near shore continue for up to 90 minutes after the flood was supposed to begin. I've eddy hopped back several times until I asked the question to the Armchair Sailor guy. Craig: Yes, they all develop over time (of course) but I think that the time is a lot smaller than any of the rules would make us believe. Bob Burnett has been doing a lot of playtime in Cattle Pass lately with newbies so I would expect him to be pretty aware of how current speeds develop. I'll try to ask him. Rob: Having padled there numerous times I wouldn't say it goes off full tilt very quickly, but I agree with your supposition that it develops more fully sooner than the rules of thumb would imply. I think you are right, that areas with tighter constrictions and more convoluted bathymetry can defy the *rules.* Rob: I have a new one for ya, Craig. The WA side of JDF from Port Angeles to Cape Flattery often experiences a double ebb; a very short and weak flood; or, sometimes more *normal* conditions. It makes surf prediction at Crescent Bay and other breaks difficult, for one thing. It ranges from diurnal to the more NW standard of semi-diurnal tides. In my opinion the anomalies there are are more PHD worthy than current differential in tight embayments. Next time you see a Captain Jack's Almanac, look it up. Cheers, Rob G -----Original Message----- From: Craig Jungers <crjungers_at_gmail.com> To: rcgibbert_at_aol.com Cc: paddlewise_at_paddlewise.net Sent: Wed, Oct 28, 2009 9:04 am Subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Tudes and Current Speed On Wed, Oct 28, 2009 at 8:14 AM, <rcgibbert_at_aol.com> wrote: I usually avoid the rule of 3rds and stick with David Burch's 50/90 rule. That being at the end of the first hour after slack the current is 50%, the second 90% and the 3rd 100%. It reverses the same way. It is a pretty good guide, but not a tack driver for all places. Deception Pass has 2 inlet/outlet features at Canoe Pass and Deception Pass proper. The time for slack varies all over the general area and in some places it still ebbs while others the flood begins. I wouldn't say it goes full on just after slack, all the times I've been there it seems to me to take on a noticeable ramp up period, but less than the 50/90 rule would imply, perhaps due to the features you've noted and others we both are overlooking. I think that the rules work best for tides and current through a large bay but fails at a really constricted entrance. I always thought the rule of 3rds was for tide height and the 50/90 for currents. As far as Deception Pass goes I suspect current speeds reach 90% of full speed within 1 hour of slack.B I agree that it seems to be flowing out in one place while flowing in somewhere else. No way in a small boat to be all over the place. I think I'll take the Zodiac and a GPS over there this summer as a project and find out. This question has nagged at me for 20 years at least. Paddling back and drifting through would be a pain in the butt in a kayak but a piece of cake (and probably fun) in a Zodiac. There are 2 areas that I have been that have a noticeably similar current dissimilarity to published guides, the mouth of the Strait of Juan de Fuca and the mouth of Icy Strait. A yachtie who owns armchair Sailor in Seattle, informed me that closer to shore in JDF on the US side the water *usually* ebbs longer than it floods. That doesn't surprise me either. Tidal flow is calculated and represented as linear but, like all hydraulics, it's more chaotic. The linear representations work fine as an over all view and most clients of tidal data don't much care about anything more granular. Most of them not being kayakers. The sheer volume of water from Puget Sound and the southern Georgia Strait collides with the flood that usually sets against Vancouver Island. Most times I've been out the mouth of JDF it was this way. The ebb was still going strong while the flood was starting, albeit in mid channel. The one time I've been through the mouth of Icy Strait, we planned on the flood not helping us for 90 minutes prior to published flood. Sure enough, the rips in the Inian Islands were still going off. That's one time, though, hard to make a claim based on that, however looking at the chart for Icy Strait, there was no way all that water in there was going to come out nice and uniform. No but 90 minutes seems a bit long. I always give myself 30 minutes for slack water at any pass in a slow boat (like a sailboat or a fishing boat) and that seems to work. I bet the tugboat drivers could add a lot to this discussion. All the guys I knew have long since retired so I might have to chat one up some day given the chance. Cattle Pass between San Juan and Lopez islands is another tight opening, relatively speaking, that seems to have a quicker max, but it still develops over time. Yes, they all develop over time (of course) but I think that the time is a lot smaller than any of the rules would make us believe. Bob Burnett has been doing a lot of playtime in Cattle Pass lately with newbies so I would expect him to be pretty aware of how current speeds develop. I'll try to ask him. There is a PhD in here somewhere. :P Craig Jungers Moses Lake, WA www.nwkayaking.net *************************************************************************** PaddleWise Paddling Mailing List - Any opinions or suggestions expressed here are solely those of the writer(s). You must assume the entire responsibility for reliance upon them. All postings copyright the author. Submissions: PaddleWise_at_PaddleWise.net Subscriptions: PaddleWise-request_at_PaddleWise.net Website: http://www.paddlewise.net/ ***************************************************************************Received on Wed Oct 28 2009 - 09:41:40 PDT
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