On Tue, Dec 1, 2009 at 8:08 AM, James Farrelly <JFarrelly5_at_comcast.net>wrote: > > You have already made up your mind Mike. Why even consider data? > > The age of the Internet. Everyone's enough of an expert to have an opinion that's just as valid as the opinions of anyone else and a platform from which to utter it. This, apparently, includes me. The AGW skeptics obviously consider this a political debate not a scientific one. AGW is perfect for this because, as Kruger explained, there is no way to "prove" any of it until it's too late. Paul, who used to do computer models, is suspicious of computer models. So, for him, there is no use quoting computer models (which were so useful in designing atomic bombs). Mike distrusts "government" so anything funded by "government" is automatically suspect. All their suspicions are bolstered by the scientists themselves, who are unfortunately human. Being human they frequently also have their own political agendas and their own human foibles so there are enough anomalies in the presentations for skeptics to point to them and have their own "ah ha!" moment. So, some of the scientific debates *are* somewhat political and when it becomes openly political the skeptics see no reason not to push the argument farther in that direction. After all, the liberals started it. The "destruction" of the "raw data" is, for a skeptic, just another link in the plot. No single institution or person has the "data" of course. There is too much of it for any single depository and much of it is in the notebooks of people who simply recorded it every day for 35 years or so and then, maybe, published an analysis of that data. Lots of this raw data is destroyed yearly but now it becomes part of the "plot". And the simple fact that no single person can understand all the data - even if they had all the data - means that it's a simple matter to draw opposing conclusions using whatever data (outdated, out of context or from some blog) available. I imagine a lot of the environmental scientists are somewhat surprised to find themselvs part of a liberal plot. But I think it's interesting that most of the current "debate" (if you can call it that) is among people who aren't, themselves, involved in the science. Most of the environmental scientists I know see this as a side issue and pay little attention to it. Now, I can see quite easily how corporations can decide to fund studies determined to confuse the issue. Corporate finagling is, after all, why we have anti-trust laws. But I have yet to see anything that would cause so many governments to all behave in exactly the same way. Mike thinks that the funding is the culprit and that only scientists who are willing to skew their analysis of their data in the proper way get the money. Mike probably sees no difference between ExxonMobil subsidizing a "study" and the National Science Foundation subsidizing a "study". To a skeptic the only difference is that the NSF money is involved in the vast conspiracy to.... to..... well, no one has actually said why they want to do it. But whatever it is it will surely cost us money. And raise taxes. For me, the humorous part is that apparently studies funded by ExxonMobile, Chevron, Dow and the like are just going to give us the straight scoop. I believe that like I believe Marlboro Lights are good for me. And as far as suspect government money....well, you do realize that the USA subsidizes ExxonMobile - the world's most profitable corporation - with public money don't you? For me it boils down to this. While I have no doubt that money from ExxonMobil may have strings attached, I can't see why money from the NSF would have them; especially when the conservatives controlled the process for 12 years. It seems to me that if Mike is right then government funding would skew the results one way for a while and then the other way for a while. And I can't see why money from NSF would influence scientists in Russia, Chile, Finland and others operating under so many different political schemes. I am becoming more convinced every day that the skeptics suspect a vast world-wide conspiracy because, in the last analysis, that's the way they'd do it if they had the chance. Craig Jungers Moses Lake, WA www.nwkayaking.net PS: I didn't kayak today. I'm sick. My wife thinks I'm sick because I kayaked Sunday. *************************************************************************** PaddleWise Paddling Mailing List - Any opinions or suggestions expressed here are solely those of the writer(s). You must assume the entire responsibility for reliance upon them. All postings copyright the author. Submissions: PaddleWise_at_PaddleWise.net Subscriptions: PaddleWise-request_at_PaddleWise.net Website: http://www.paddlewise.net/ ***************************************************************************Received on Tue Dec 01 2009 - 11:48:45 PST
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