[Paddlewise] Weather or not

From: Whitesavage & Lyle <nickjean_at_speakeasy.org>
Date: Tue, 31 Aug 1999 00:52:42 -0700
"we have had a few marine "bombs" drop on us, where hurricane force
winds rapidly developed from a small craft warning. I've been caught in
a
few of those situations over the year's (the more time you spend on the
water, the greater the chance of "ship happening"), and it is worse than

being a victim of over-predicting, where you sat on the beach
unnecessarily."  said Doug

Once I was on Puget sound on a summer day when the morning marine
forecast had been for 10-15 knots.  In the late afternoon the north wind
died away to a flat calm.  Then a little south breeze came up.  In less
than an hour it was blowing a solid 40 knots (as measured downwind in
Everett WA).  This very strong wind blew for hours, until long after
dark.  The wind was against the tide and very steep waves built up much
faster than they do on the fetch/wind speed graphs that you find in
books.

Ever since then I always carry more in the way of safety gear (and
especially warm clothes) than I previously thought necessary in
summertime.  Even if you only go out when the weather report is nice you
will eventually be surprised.  Even if you can avoid rolling in 4 to 6
foot breaking seas, you will be soaked through in no time in 40 knot
winds.

I think that the fact that predicted wind speeds often seem high is
partly due to the ability of recording anemometers to record the highest
gusts.  On a given day it may only blow 20 knots in ocaisional gusts.
These gusts might be too brief to influence the sea state, but they will
be recorded as the high end for the days wind range.

Nick Lyle

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Received on Tue Aug 31 1999 - 00:42:34 PDT

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