Matt wrote: > nothing happens. So called "Psychics" get great mileage out of this quirk in > human memory by making a lot of nebulous predictions and letting (or > helping) us fill in the blanks with later reality of those few that could be > even close. When I was in the business of international economic forecasting we had a saying in our research firm about making accurate predictions. In making a forecast give either the percentage change or the year but not both. :-) Our multinational company clients also had a saying. If looking for a range of predictions just call different people in our company. I think that rates a double :-) :-) ralph diaz -- ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Ralph Diaz . . . Folding Kayaker newsletter PO Box 0754, New York, NY 10024 Tel: 212-724-5069; E-mail: rdiaz_at_ix.netcom.com "Where's your sea kayak?"----"It's in the bag." ----------------------------------------------------------------------- *************************************************************************** PaddleWise Paddling Mailing List - All postings copyright the author and not to be reproduced outside PaddleWise without author's permission Submissions: paddlewise_at_lists.intelenet.net Subscriptions: paddlewise-request_at_lists.intelenet.net Website: http://www.paddlewise.net/ ***************************************************************************Received on Fri Dec 17 1999 - 06:07:18 PST
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