RE: [Paddlewise] Global Warming: Fact or Unproven Theory?

From: Nick Schade <schade_at_guillemot-kayaks.com>
Date: Wed, 13 Dec 2000 09:18:20 -0500
There is only one definitive scientific experiment to prove whether 
global warming is happening: Continue on the way we are now and see 
what happens. If the ice cap melts and floods Bangladesh, there is 
global warming.

I am quite prepared to accept that the global warming theory is 
incorrect. I don't think anyone is prepared for the consequences if 
global warming occurs. The cost of acting as if the theory is correct 
pales in comparison to the cost if the theory proves to be true.

We can easily predict the consequences of changing our ways. Any 
hardship would be short lived. It would mess up a few 5-year plans. 
We have no idea what will happen if anything resembling global 
warming actually occurs. For example who is to say we will actually 
get warmer. The Gulf Stream could be redirected and all of Europe 
could become like Siberia.

It is also quite possible the climate will change without our 
intervention. If this is true and we act as if we can make a 
difference, we have wasted a small amount of effort, but at least we 
know we tried.

I would rather not perform the definitive experiment. Boy would we 
feel stupid if the theory proved true and we did nothing.
Nick


>
>Some of the work I do requires doing drainage studies from storm water
>run-off and snow fall data.  And, not one to trust "scientific studies"
>much, I looked into the basis for the numbers we typically use for the 5
>year, 10 year, 25 year, 50 year and 100 year events.  And found little in
>the way of valid statistical or scientific evidence.
-- 


Nick Schade
Guillemot Kayaks
824 Thompson St, Suite I
Glastonbury, CT 06033
(860) 659-8847

Schade_at_guillemot-kayaks.com
http://www.guillemot-kayaks.com/

>>>>"It's not just Art, It's a Craft!"<<<<

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Received on Wed Dec 13 2000 - 09:51:54 PST

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