Re: [Paddlewise] Target Risk

----- Original Message -----
From: <SeaKayakNH_at_aol.com>
To: <paddlewise_at_paddlewise.net>
Sent: Saturday, April 28, 2001 4:56 PM
Subject: Re: [Paddlewise] No-Fault Paddling Get-togethers

snip

>     I'll love to look at it, but I missed the link. If someone would be so
> kind as to repost the link, I'll check it out right away.
>
snip

http://pavlov.psyc.queensu.ca/target/index.html

Anyone with experience in this field care to comment on the validity of the
theory of risk homeostasis. The link references a publication date of 1994.
What has changed in this field in the interim? Have the findings of more
recent studies supported this theory? Is the theory readily transferable to
other areas such as rock climbing and kayaking? If applicable, any opinions
on how this theory effects risk associated with kayaking?

According to this publication:


     It also seems hard to comprehend why these rates are not much
influenced by the visible     progress in safety engineering, by
prescriptive or prohibitive laws and their enforcement,     by informing the
public about risks, or by more successful medical treatment of accident
victims who do not die instantly.

and

    if we wish to make an attempt at reducing this misery, that attempt
should be aimed at         reducing the level of risk accepted by the
population.

How do we motivate kayakers to be safer?

Thanks in advance,

Craig

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