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From: skimmer <skimmer_at_enter.net>
subject: [Paddlewise] Survival time
Date: Sun, 25 Mar 2007 23:33:09 4
It is reported that:

55% of cold water deaths are due to the combination of cold shock 
and subsequent swimming failure. Hypothermia, dropping core 
temperature, accounts for 25% of deaths and 20% of deaths are 
due to "post rescue collapse", the effects of pulling a chilled 
individual out of the water improperly and other effects of lung 
damage, and damage to the blood vascular system etc.

In general, cooling time is effected by body mass, extent of marine 
turbulence, water temperature and clothing. The USCG has some 
rather advanced computer programs now for estimating survival 
time and they are using the data to estimate how long they should 
carry on searches for victims lost at sea.

Chuck Sutherland
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From: Doug Lloyd <douglloyd_at_shaw.ca>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Survival time
Date: Sun, 25 Mar 2007 23:57:13 -0700
Hayward's early experiments at the University of Victoria suggested longer 
than expected (but still far less than what the general population thought) 
swim times/distance based on the slow, but steady drop in body core 
temperatures. More recent research has shown that in cold water (12 Celcius 
I think), swimming failure occurs at less than 50% the distance Hayward 
indicated (2000 plus meters at the given temperature they measured, versus 
the actual 800 plus meters now indicated). Loss of dexterity was a large 
factor, and of course more rapid core cooling. Immersion apparel and 
flotation are cited as critical to survival time in cold water. Nothing 
really new here for Paddlewise readers, other than a reminder that "swimming 
failure" also includes inability to further tread water. PFD's do help save 
lives, discounting cold shock.

Doug L

> It is reported that:
>
> 55% of cold water deaths are due to the combination of cold shock
> and subsequent swimming failure. Hypothermia, dropping core
> temperature, accounts for 25% of deaths and 20% of deaths are
> due to "post rescue collapse", the effects of pulling a chilled
> individual out of the water improperly and other effects of lung
> damage, and damage to the blood vascular system etc.

snip
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From: Paul Montgomery <paul_at_paddleandoar.com>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Survival time
Date: Mon, 26 Mar 2007 05:36:57 -0700
On Mar 25, 2007, at 4:29 PM, skimmer wrote:

> It is reported that:
>
> 55% of cold water deaths are due to the combination of cold shock
> and subsequent swimming failure. Hypothermia, dropping core
> temperature, accounts for 25% of deaths and 20% of deaths are
> due to "post rescue collapse", the effects of pulling a chilled
> individual out of the water improperly and other effects of lung
> damage, and damage to the blood vascular system etc.

I remember seeing on TV a story about a lady who could swim in  
Antarctic water. They also observed a guy who would go into a glass  
box and they would pour ice in all around him and he could stay in  
there for long periods of time. I don't remember the details of how  
this was possible, but in effect they had trained themselves to do  
this. It kind of makes me wonder about the possibilities...

Paul Montgomery
paul_at_paddleandoar.com
http://paddleandoar.com
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From: Jennifer Pivovar <jpivovar_at_headwinds.org>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Survival time
Date: Mon, 26 Mar 2007 09:53:05 -0400
In Saturday's mail I received (probably from the ACA but who knows) a
"Wear It!" brochure produced by the "National Safe Boating Council".  It
contains a tear-off card with "2005 USCG Boating Statistics".  (The
brochure is available at http://SafeBoatingCampaign.net if you want to
see the whole thing).

In it, they state that there were 697 boating fatalities in 2005
(presumably in the US).  Of these, 29 involved kayaks.  Of those 29, it
states that 24 deaths were from drowning (10 no PFD), 3 from
hypothermia, and 2 from 'other'.  The only safety practice discussed in
this brochure is the wearing of a PFD, so the numbers are presented in
such a way as to enhance the conclusion that no PFD = higher risk of
death.  

The stats card goes on to draw the obvious (to them) conclusions for the
reader: "In 2005, approximately 70% of all fatalities drowned (491 out
of 697).  Approximately 87% of the victims who drowned were not wearing
a life jacket.  Overall, fatal accident data show approximately 426
drowned lives could have been saved in 2005 if boaters had worn their
life jackets..."

Their assumption is that every drowning death that occurred without a
PFD would have been avoided by the use of a PFD.  There is no discussion
whatsoever about cold water or any other factors.  Such is the logic of
those who are the public face of 'boating safety' and the 'opinion
makers' of those who look for guidance WRT rules and legislation.

Jennifer

-- 
  Jennifer Pivovar
  jpivovar_at_headwinds.org

----- Original message -----
From: "skimmer" <skimmer_at_enter.net>
It is reported that:

55% of cold water deaths are due to the combination of cold shock 
and subsequent swimming failure.... 
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From: skimmer <skimmer_at_enter.net>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Survival time
Date: Mon, 26 Mar 2007 10:02:03 4
"I remember seeing on TV a story about a lady who could swim in  
Antarctic water. " Paul Montgomery
-----------------------------
Hi Paul,

The answer is somewhat tedious. I'll work ot it in a few days. The 
short answer is that the swimmer lady trained by swimming some 
miles every day in cold water. None-the-less, the effects of cold 
water immersion on her were not changed much, but she learned 
how to deal with those effects. It is an interesting story, but it holds 
no hope for an easy fix for paddlers that do cold water paddling.

Chuck Sutherland
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From: Dave Kruger <kdruger_at_pacifier.com>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Survival time
Date: Mon, 26 Mar 2007 07:25:45 -0700
skimmer wrote:
> "I remember seeing on TV a story about a lady who could swim in  
> Antarctic water. " Paul Montgomery

This sort of effect is common for folks who work with their hands in very 
cold water:  fish filleters, for example.  Studies show (can no longer 
recall the sources) that you can acclimate your hands to immersion in 35-40 
F water, over a period of many weeks, working up from a few minutes to a 
full eight hour work shift.  OTOH, if you fail to maintain the regime, you 
lose the acclimatization pretty fast:  couple weeks or so, IIRC.

Acclimatizing your body to full immersion must involve something more 
demanding, although when I swam regularly in the ocean, as a kid, we could 
stay out in 63-64 F water for at least an hour, moving actively.  The 
demarcation was quite sharp, however:  at 60 F, we could not stand it for 
more than 15 minutes; at 70 F, we were in heaven, and could last basically 
all day.  Again, we were swimming actively.

-- 
Dave Kruger
Astoria, OR
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From: <Rcgibbert_at_aol.com>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Survival time
Date: Mon, 26 Mar 2007 11:15:01 EDT
In a message dated 3/25/2007 8:33:10 PM Pacific Daylight Time,  
skimmer_at_enter.net writes:

The USCG  has some 
rather advanced computer programs now for estimating survival  
time and they are using the data to estimate how long they should  
carry on searches for victims lost at sea.



I hope they are better than the computer models the UN folks are running on  
global warming.
 
Cheers,
 
Rob G



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