RE: [Paddlewise] (Paddlewise) Winter In A time Of Change

From: Chuck Holst <cholst_at_bitstream.net>
Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2008 16:16:37 -0600
I have not seen the Al Gore quotation in context, but I think it likely he
was referring to summer ice in the Arctic Ocean, not to all the ice on the
planet. Not so long ago climatologists thought it would take decades for
Arctic summer sea ice to disappear, but the dwindling of the ice has been so
dramatic that some now think it could happen in five to ten years.

Forget the current cold snap; weather is not climate. Last year was still
one of the ten warmest on record.

Svante Arrhenius was the first to warn, about a hundred years ago, that a
sufficient increase in the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere could
warm the planet. Other scientists, with more data, have been making the same
prediction for the last 30 to 40 years. As far as I am concerned their
warnings are justified by the current warming. Now it's up to the skeptics
to show unequivocally that the warming is caused by something else. However,
from what I know of the arguments, each skeptic seems to have a different
hypothesis. That is, there is no consensus among the skeptics as to what is
causing the warming comparable to that among climatologists about the role
of carbon dioxide and other gasses such as methane.

Chuck Holst

 

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Received on Wed Dec 17 2008 - 14:16:47 PST

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