Re: [Paddlewise] Risk Homeowhatsis

<John Winters wrote:>
>
>Great idea if I can figure out how to do it using my rotten math skills.
>Does anyone out there remember the classic chaos type of formula? Is it  n =
>n ^(1-n) or is it x --> x2 + c? Maybe neither one.
>
>One problem. It may breed so much paranoia and uncertainty that no one will
>ever paddle again. HMMM Maybe not a problem at all. :)

That's it! By George I think he's got it! I've think you've stumbled onto
the Final Solution, John!

We had (1) risk homeostasis, which alone proved unsatisfying to some; too
narrow a view perhaps. Then (2) chaos was added; an excellent addition,
expanding the definition and gaining more supporters. We're making real
progress, I thought. And NOW(!) (3) you've added the third and final
element: Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt. FUD! The final missing link! (I'm
sure we can soon agree on measuring chaos and FUD.)

It's THREE, don't you see, a triangle, a holy trinity...  a pyramid even,
some will think. For surely the three-element FUD factor gives it overall a
three dimensional structure, don't you think? This could bring the last of
the heathen unbelievers around.

My God, I'm so excited!  ;-)

-Bruce
who's been enjoying this immensely, and who's only partly kidding about the
FUD factor. If FUD's a factor on any given day, it could actually be THE
deciding factor in the accident that came to pass. It's probably a poor
strategy to push one's personal envelope, whatever that may mean to one,
when FUD has awakened. Go paddle somewhere else for the day, and put FUD
back to sleep again.


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