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From: Michael Daly <michaeldaly_at_rogers.com>
subject: [Paddlewise] Size of kayaking community?
Date: Fri, 3 May 2002 11:05:06 -0400
I started wondering about this.  How many kayakers are out
there?  I keep hearing that this is one of the fastest growing
sports in NA, but haven't seen any numbers.

Does anyone know of a source of info of, say, sales volumes
by type of kayak (recreational, touring (plastic vs composite))
etc?   I took a quick look at the TAPS website, but found 
nothing.

Mike

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From: Al Vazquez <alvazquez_at_kayakguide.com>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Size of kayaking community?
Date: Fri, 03 May 2002 11:45:58 -0400
Mike,

The ACA (with 35,000 members) estimates 24.8 million paddlers in U.S.A.

I'd like to know how many there are by country... Paddlewisers, please send in
your numbers.
--
Al Vazquez
KayakGuide.com tm
         Places to Paddle tm
 - Kayaking - Canoeing - Rafting -

Michael Daly wrote:

> I started wondering about this.  How many kayakers are out
> there?

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From: Melissa Reese <melissa_at_bonnyweeboaty.net>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Size of kayaking community?
Date: Fri, 3 May 2002 14:14:51 -0700
On Friday, May 03, 2002, at 8:45:58 AM PST, Al Vazquez wrote:

> I'd like to know how many there are by country... Paddlewisers,
> please send in your numbers.

I am one (in USA).  :-)

Melissa
-- 
PGP public keys:
mailto:pgp_keys_at_gmx.co.uk?subject=0x46C29887&Body=Please%20send%20keys

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From: Michael Daly <michaeldaly_at_rogers.com>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Size of kayaking community?
Date: Fri, 3 May 2002 20:36:02 -0400
From: "Al Vazquez" <alvazquez_at_kayakguide.com>

> The ACA (with 35,000 members) estimates 24.8 million paddlers in U.S.A.

But what fraction are sea kayakers?  10%? 25%?  

Do the TASK members get sales volumes published every year?  

Mike

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From: Sid Taylor <tayls_at_snowcrest.net>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Size of kayaking community?
Date: Fri, 3 May 2002 22:03:18 -0700
Mike et al,           (no pun intended)

>
> The ACA ......estimates 24.8 million paddlers in U.S.A.

If the foregoing is even remotely true I'll eat my paddle float!

Can 24.8 million be a community?



How many people actually tour kayak as opposed to day trip? Are they
competent, equiped paddlers or inexperienced and ill-equiped?

Are some of these 24.8 million arm chair paddlers, kind of like the Round
Table Pizza Guy?

I'm thinking alot of these boats go nowhere, like those well-polished 4
wheelers nose-to-nose in rush hour.

Sid





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From: Wes Boyd <boydwe_at_dmci.net>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Size of kayaking community?
Date: Mon, 06 May 2002 11:30:20
At 10:03 PM 5/3/02 -0700, Sid Taylor wrote:
>
>How many people actually tour kayak as opposed to day trip? Are they
>competent, equiped paddlers or inexperienced and ill-equiped?
>
>Are some of these 24.8 million arm chair paddlers, kind of like the Round
>Table Pizza Guy?
>
>I'm thinking alot of these boats go nowhere, like those well-polished 4
>wheelers nose-to-nose in rush hour.


I suppose in the broadest sense of the word, 24 million isn't far off --
but much depends on how you define paddlers. 

I live in a largely rural county with a couple medium sized cities.
Population about 100,000. I know of one other guy in the county besides
myself that owns a fiberglass kayak (actually two, since his wife goes out
with him occasionally.) I might have missed someone, but I'm not missing
many. My regular paddling lake is a no-wake place, and is frequented by
paddlers, so I figure sooner or later most everybody in the county that
paddles a kayak is going to show up there, and I'll hear about them or meet
them. It doesn't happen often. I can think of at the most half a dozen
people with rec. boats from this county that have showed up there the last
several years, although some of them several times.

I occasionally paddle on a lake with about 700 summer homes, cottages, and
the like. Usually I see no other kayaks, period. Once in a while, a rec.
boat. Three times in four years, other sea kayaks, one plastic, one wood,
one fiberglass. (Untold g.d. jetskis, etc.) Canoes, I see frequently -- but
usually Grummans or other old boom-alums, some of which have been sitting
around cottages for years. Presumably their owners can be considered
paddlers, but I'll bet most of these boats don't get moved from one year to
the next. Plastic canoes, rarely, and then usually Colemans. High-end
canoes, by which I mean like Wenonah or Mad River, virtually never.

I can't back it up with actual figures, but my gut feeling is that
higher-end kayakers and canoeists are a pretty rare breed, at least in this
neck of the woods. 24.8 million is about 8% of the US population -- and the
figure seems high now that I think aobut it, unless you call anyone who has
ever set foot in a canoe or kayak a paddler. Which is wishful thinking. I'd
guess maybe a tenth of that many people actually get in a canoe or kayak
once or twice a year. I suspect less than a tenth of that figure
participate in paddlesports as an active recreational activity. In other
words, about 250,000. And that figure feels about right, I think.

-- Wes
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wes Boyd's Kayak Place               http://www2.dmci.net/wesboyd/kayak.htm
Kayaks for Big Guys (And Gals) | Trip Reports | Places To Go | Boats & Gear
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

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From: WhiteRabbit <whiterabbit_at_empowering.com>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Size of kayaking community?
Date: Sat, 4 May 2002 00:34:33 -0500
You find over half of them drunk on any given summer weekend on popular
float streams.  Calling them paddlers is a serious misnomer.

> > The ACA ......estimates 24.8 million paddlers in U.S.A.
>
> If the foregoing is even remotely true I'll eat my paddle float!

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From: ralph diaz <rdiaz_at_ix.netcom.com>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Size of kayaking community?
Date: Mon, 6 May 2002 09:07:56 -0400
I have seen estimates from time to time but they strike me as grossly overly
stated.

ralph
----- Original Message -----
From: "Michael Daly" <michaeldaly_at_rogers.com>
Subject: [Paddlewise] Size of kayaking community?


> I started wondering about this.  How many kayakers are out
> there?  I keep hearing that this is one of the fastest growing
> sports in NA, but haven't seen any numbers.
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From: ralph diaz <rdiaz_at_ix.netcom.com>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Size of kayaking community?
Date: Mon, 6 May 2002 11:55:40 -0400
----- Original Message -----
From: "Wes Boyd" <boydwe_at_dmci.net>

> neck of the woods. 24.8 million is about 8% of the US population -- and
the
> figure seems high now that I think aobut it, unless you call anyone who
has
> ever set foot in a canoe or kayak a paddler. Which is wishful thinking.
I'd
> guess maybe a tenth of that many people actually get in a canoe or kayak
> once or twice a year. I suspect less than a tenth of that figure
> participate in paddlesports as an active recreational activity. In other
> words, about 250,000. And that figure feels about right, I think.

There is a rule of thumb used in the publishing world.  Basically you expect
that a mature publication is doing its job if it is reaching about 10 per
cent of its targeted audience or market.  This formula doesn't always work
but it certainly gives you something to wrap your hands on.

So a mature magazine like C&K has an audited circulation in the
50,000-60,000 range (it is the only paddling magazine that is ABC audited,
i.e. really audited and not with figures that include funny things).  So, it
is probably safe to say that there are 500,000 paddlers out there of the WW,
canoe, SK variety.  To narrow down the latter look at Sea Kayaker's
circulation.  Its circulation is not audited but just declared for purposes
of a break in postage (they need to put a statement as do all the magazines
indicating ownership, issues sold, freebies, etc. and this appears in an
issue in the Fall, usually in the tiniest of prints in some back page).  If
I recall correctly, the latest last Fall was in the 26,000 range.  But you
may want to doctor that down a bit because it is not audited, say to 20,000.
Multiply by 10 and you get around 200,000 sea kayakers.  Again this formula
is not perfect.  Runners World for example has a circulation, I believe in
the 100,000 range (I don't know if I have seen their box they have to
publish in the fall but I think that figure is about right).  It would then
suggest that there are 1 million runners but there are a lot more than that,
i.e. people who regularly run say 2 miles and up several times a week.

The 24.8 million figure for paddlers is a pipe dream.

ralph

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From: John Fereira <jaf30_at_cornell.edu>
subject: [Paddlewise] Are you a member of the Kayaking community?
Date: Mon, 06 May 2002 12:25:19 -0400
It has been estimated that there are 24 million paddlers but several people 
have expressed skepticism regarding that figure based on how one defines 
"paddler", so I offer, in my best Jeff Foxworthy voice...

If you paddle a kayak less than 17' long or more than 23" wide..
   ... then you're not a part of the kayaking community.

If you have ever gone kayaking and brought along beer
   ... then you're not a part of the kayaking community

If you transport your kayak using a shiny new 4x4
   ... then you're not a part of the kayaking community

If you paddle a Sit-on-top kayak
   ... then you're not a part of the kayaking community

If your paddle is not made of graphite
   ... then you're not a part of the kayaking community

If you get your pizza at Round Table
   ... then you're not a part of the kayaking community

If you have ever taken off your PFD while paddling
   ... then you're not a part of the kayaking community

If you don't know how to roll
   ... then you're not a part of the kayaking community

If the only kayak you own is made out of polyethelyne
   ... then you're not a part of the kayaking community

If you call yourself a recreational paddler
   ... then you're not a part of the kayaking community


I hope I've made my point

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From: ralph diaz <rdiaz_at_ix.netcom.com>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Are you a member of the Kayaking community?
Date: Mon, 6 May 2002 12:44:42 -0400
----- Original Message -----
From: "John Fereira" <jaf30_at_cornell.edu>

> It has been estimated that there are 24 million paddlers but several
people
> have expressed skepticism regarding that figure based on how one defines
> "paddler", so I offer, in my best Jeff Foxworthy voice...
>
> If you paddle a kayak less than 17' long or more than 23" wide..
>    ... then you're not a part of the kayaking community.
>
> If you have ever gone kayaking and brought along beer
>    ... then you're not a part of the kayaking community
>
> If you transport your kayak using a shiny new 4x4
>    ... then you're not a part of the kayaking community
>  SNIPPED

 I would add:

If you don't subscribe to PaddleWise...then you are not a part of the
kayaking community

If your boat is not made of skin on frame construction...then you are not a
part of the kayaking community

ralph diaz

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From: Peter Staehling <staehpj1_at_yahoo.com>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Are you a member of the Kayaking community?
Date: Mon, 6 May 2002 09:43:19 -0700 (PDT)
--- John Fereira <jaf30_at_cornell.edu> wrote:
> If you paddle a kayak less than 17' long or more
> than 23" wide..
>    ... then you're not a part of the kayaking
> community.

Whitewater paddlers might say:
If you paddle a kayak more than 8' long...
... then you're not a part of the kayaking community.


Yahoo! Health - your guide to health and wellness
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From: Steve Holtzman <sh_at_actglobal.net>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Are you a member of the Kayaking community?
Date: Mon, 6 May 2002 10:49:01 -0700
----- Original Message -----
From: "John Fereira" <jaf30_at_cornell.edu>
To: "PaddleWise" <paddlewise_at_paddlewise.net>
Sent: May 06, 2002 9:25 AM
Subject: [Paddlewise] Are you a member of the Kayaking community?


> If you paddle a kayak less than 17' long or more than 23" wide..
>    ... then you're not a part of the kayaking community.

etc.etc.

John,

Don't forget to add the following to your list.

If you don't paddle in the ocean, than you're not part of the kayaking
community.

If you don't carry a VHF, than you're not part of the kayaking community.

If you don't carry flares, than you're not part of the kayaking community.

If you don't carry a tow line, than you're not part of the kayaking
community.

If you don't carry a spare paddle, than you're not part of the kayaking
community.

If you don't wear a skirt, than you're not part of the kayaking community.

Thought of while popping some Advil after my non-kayaking weekend with my
16'10" Gulfstream which is not a kayak because it's less than 17' long and
is 1/4" too wide---and contemplating taking my SOT out soon now that the
water is approaching 60.

Steve Holtzman
Southern CA.


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From: Alex Ferguson <a.ferguson_at_chem.canterbury.ac.nz>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Are you a member of the Kayaking community?
Date: Tue, 07 May 2002 09:09:34 +1200
>If you paddle a kayak less than 17' long or more than 23" wide..
>   ... then you're not a part of the kayaking community.

That gets rid of at least one person who's circumnavigated the South Island 
of New Zealand - and that's a SERIOUS trip. BTW, don't define a kayak by 
its overall length or overall beam, that's completely misleading.

>If you have ever gone kayaking and brought along beer
>   ... then you're not a part of the kayaking community

OK we'll leave it at port and wine as the preferred drink? Or does it have 
to be spirits?

>If your paddle is not made of graphite
>   ... then you're not a part of the kayaking community

That gets rid of Paul Caffyn for the round Australia trip!!!! Anyway, whats 
wrong with wood for the rest of us?

>If you have ever taken off your PFD while paddling
>   ... then you're not a part of the kayaking community

Exit Paul again.

>If you don't know how to roll
>   ... then you're not a part of the kayaking community

Exit another serious paddler/circumnavigator.

>I hope I've made my point

Which one was that?

Alex
.
.

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From: John Fereira <jaf30_at_cornell.edu>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Are you a member of the Kayaking community?
Date: Tue, 07 May 2002 13:08:02 -0400
At 09:09 AM 5/7/02 +1200, Alex Ferguson wrote:
>>If you paddle a kayak less than 17' long or more than 23" wide..
>>   ... then you're not a part of the kayaking community.
>
>That gets rid of at least one person who's circumnavigated the South 
>Island of New Zealand - and that's a SERIOUS trip. BTW, don't define a 
>kayak by its overall length or overall beam, that's completely misleading.
>[snip]
>>I hope I've made my point
>
>Which one was that?

I was hoping that my sarcasm was dripping enough that everyone would have 
recognized my posting as such. I guess I forgot that many people might not 
know about Jeff Foxworthy and his "you might be a redneck" shtick.

In the "Size of the Kayaking Community" thread as well as in the past there 
have been a lot of comments that come across (to me) as a bit elitist when 
defining "paddler" or "kayaker".  Maybe because my years of experienced as 
a kayaker is not yet measured in double digits I still remember when I 
first started.  Even though I didn't know how to roll, own a graphite 
paddle, or meet almost any of the "criteria" I wrote about as being 
required for entrance into the kayaking community I feel that I've been 
welcomed.  However, I *have* seen a lot of comments reading this list over 
the past few years that do not sound so welcoming.  While all of the 
comments I wrote were intended to be sarcastic,  I've seen lots of 
implications that they are, in fact, the truth.

My point is simply that as paddlers, or members of the kayaking community, 
denigrating those that paddle sit-on-tops, or recreational kayaks, or think 
it's perfectly safe to go out on a small protected lake in mid summer 
without a VHF radio and a set of flares, is not very welcoming and come 
across as elitist.

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From: Steve Holtzman <sh_at_actglobal.net>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Are you a member of the Kayaking community?
Date: Mon, 6 May 2002 15:06:43 -0700
Alex,

The Jeff Foxworthy voice that John referred to is a stand-up comic in the
US. The joke was probably lost on a lot of our international members on
Paddlewise who may not have ever heard Mr. F.

Steve
----- Original Message -----
From: "Alex Ferguson" <a.ferguson_at_chem.canterbury.ac.nz>
To: <PaddleWise_at_paddlewise.net>
Sent: May 06, 2002 2:09 PM
Subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Are you a member of the Kayaking community?
> That gets rid of at least one person who's circumnavigated the South
Island
> of New Zealand - and that's a SERIOUS trip. BTW, don't define a kayak by
> its overall length or overall beam, that's completely misleading.
>



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From: Al Vazquez <alvazquez_at_kayakguide.com>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Are you a member of the Kayaking community?
Date: Tue, 07 May 2002 14:20:05 -0400
John,
Though Foxworthy satire may have been lost on some of our international
friends, I thought your original note was hilarious and made your point very
well.

The one truth that emerged from the thread was that you get what you ask for
when it comes to statistics (if you're lucky). We have a sport that, in
concept, is very simple. But it's become fragmented because it is, in fact, a
sport that covers a great diversity of interests. The bottom line is that, if
you believe you're a paddler, then you're a paddler, and welcome to the club.
It's a community that generally welcomes everyone, and that's one thing I
appreciate about it a great deal.

... although as a final note, Kevlar or not, I do believe all canoers are
barbarians.

:-)))))

John Fereira wrote:
I was hoping that my sarcasm was dripping enough that everyone would have
recognized my posting as such. I guess I forgot that many people might not
know about Jeff Foxworthy and his "you might be a redneck" shtick.

In the "Size of the Kayaking Community" thread as well as in the past there
have been a lot of comments that come across (to me) as a bit elitist when
defining "paddler" or "kayaker".
--
Al Vazquez
KayakGuide.com tm
         Places to Paddle tm
 - Kayaking - Canoeing - Rafting -

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From: Peter Staehling <staehpj1_at_yahoo.com>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Are you a member of the Kayaking community?
Date: Tue, 7 May 2002 11:36:39 -0700 (PDT)
> John Fereira wrote:
> I was hoping that my sarcasm was dripping enough
> that everyone would have
> recognized my posting as such. 

I know who Jeff Foxworthy is, but I have heard folks
that actually say worse than your sarcasm and mean it.
 If it was meant to be hyperbole, then you have no
idea how far some folks will actually go.  In some
circles that would have been a mainstream opinion.  I
personally suspected, but wasn't sure of your meaning.

Pete

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From: John Fereira <jaf30_at_cornell.edu>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Are you a member of the Kayaking community?
Date: Tue, 07 May 2002 15:38:28 -0400
At 11:36 AM 5/7/02 -0700, Peter Staehling wrote:
> > John Fereira wrote:
> > I was hoping that my sarcasm was dripping enough
> > that everyone would have
> > recognized my posting as such.
>
>I know who Jeff Foxworthy is, but I have heard folks
>that actually say worse than your sarcasm and mean it.
>  If it was meant to be hyperbole, then you have no
>idea how far some folks will actually go.  In some
>circles that would have been a mainstream opinion.  I
>personally suspected, but wasn't sure of your meaning.

Sarcasm or hyperbole isn't all that effective unless there's some element 
of truth to it.



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From: Kirk Olsen <kolsen_at_imaginelan.com>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Are you a member of the Kayaking community?
Date: Tue, 07 May 2002 14:50:58 -0400
At 02:20 PM 5/7/2002 -0400, Al Vazquez wrote:
>... although as a final note, Kevlar or not, I do believe all canoers are
>barbarians.

tsk, tsk, it's not good to call the list admin names ;-)

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From: Melissa Reese <melissa_at_bonnyweeboaty.net>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Are you a member of the Kayaking community?
Date: Tue, 7 May 2002 12:12:58 -0700
On Tuesday, May 07, 2002, at 11:20:05 AM PST, Al Vazquez wrote:

> ... although as a final note, Kevlar or not, I do believe all
> canoers are barbarians.

> :-)))))

While I might well agree with you on that one (*wink wink* <---obvious
enough?), let's be sure that we don't confuse and offend our UK
paddling friends, who are often under the peculiar impression that a
"qajaq" is a "canoe".

And then there are those who insist on attaching silly "steering" and
"retractable directional stability" contraptions on perfectly good
paddle craft. There is just no hope for some...

(*WINK WINK*!!!)

PS:  Long live Sp****ns!  (oops!)

Okay...now where's all my flameproof paddling gear?  =:-o

Melissa
-- 
PGP public keys:
mailto:pgp_keys_at_gmx.co.uk?subject=0x46C29887&Body=Please%20send%20keys

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From: Michael Daly <michaeldaly_at_rogers.com>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Are you a member of the Kayaking community?
Date: Tue, 7 May 2002 15:52:39 -0400
From: "Melissa Reese" <melissa_at_bonnyweeboaty.net>

> PS:  Long live Sp****ns!  (oops!)

Hey - Voyageur, makers of flotation bags and waterproof stuff sacks
and gear for canoes and kayaks are now selling sponsons!  Watch
out uncle timmy, you've got competition.

Mike

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From: Jackie Fenton <jackie_at_muddypuppies.com>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Are you a member of the Kayaking community?
Date: Tue, 7 May 2002 13:24:54 -0700 (PDT)
> From: John Fereira <jaf30_at_cornell.edu>

> I was hoping that my sarcasm was dripping enough that everyone would have 
> recognized my posting as such. I guess I forgot that many people might not 
> know about Jeff Foxworthy and his "you might be a redneck" shtick.

I caught it.  But then... I'm a Foxworthy fan. :-)
 
> My point is simply that as paddlers, or members of the kayaking community, 
> denigrating those that paddle sit-on-tops, or recreational kayaks, or think 
> it's perfectly safe to go out on a small protected lake in mid summer 
> without a VHF radio and a set of flares, is not very welcoming and come 
> across as elitist.

Which underscores why it is impossible to get a count on how many
kayakers are out there.  Many kayakers avoid the group/club 
regulations, restrictions, hassels, and elitism by going solo or... by
going with silent partners :-)


jackie
                                               _,_
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                  )\w/(       ,sSS..)/{)          `|\|"\\\
                  <<..>       sSSS_v)/ \           | \ "`"
                   )<*>      sSS[(\_]___\          | /
               <(_/_o_o_  _  'sS[_`-+---+)         |/
           \----+-------+-\\----'---`-----\--------n----')
 ~~~~~~~ ~~jf ~~~~~~~~~ ~~~\\~ ~~~~~~~ ~~~~\~ ~~~~ ~~~~~~~~~ ~~~~~~~
              ~~ ~~ ~~ ~    '\              \
   ~~ ~ ~                     \    ~~  ~~~~ \\    ~~ ~   ~~~~   
 ~~~~ ~   ~ ~   ~ ~~~      /   \             \\   
                         (/",o /{)  ~~~       ~~~    ~~~~~~~ ~ ~
                       <\(---'}/ \      ~~ ~      ~   ~~~
   ~~ ~~~ ~    ~~ ~    <7*""""\   \
                         [  \"\\___\         ~~ ~ ~~~ ~  ~~~~ ~
                         [___`------)       
 ~~ ~ \----------------- '-----`-----\-------------')
~~~~~~~~~  ~~  ~~~~~~~ ~ ~~  ~~~~~~~ ~\~~~  ~~~~ ~~~ ~~~ ~~
                                      \\
                 (\                    \\             o
          o   >jf:-)       o
                 (/                               o




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From: TheGuyWhoSentThis <rjrogg_at_pacifier.com>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Are you a member of the Kayaking community?
Date: Tue, 07 May 2002 14:52:19 -0700
Oh so true, so true in all aspects of life, and THAT is why so
many of us just lurk.  My 2 pennies.
Roggie ;-]


JACKIE wrote:

" Many kayakers avoid the group/club regulations, restrictions,
 hassels, and elitism by going solo or... by
 going with silent partners :-)
 
 jackie"
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From: Peter Staehling <staehpj1_at_yahoo.com>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Are you a member of the Kayaking community?
Date: Tue, 7 May 2002 13:37:27 -0700 (PDT)
--- John Fereira <jaf30_at_cornell.edu> wrote:
> Sarcasm or hyperbole isn't all that effective unless
> there's some element 
> of truth to it.

True enough, but it does need to be exaggerated
somewhat.  I didn't think it was even as ridiculus as
what some folks would actually say and mean it.  So I
thought it probably was sarcasm, but I wasn't sure.

Maybe I have just been exposed to worse jerks than you
have.  I think that it might just be worse in some
circles of the whitewater community that I come from. 
I have heard folks actually say you weren't a high
intermediate paddler if you hadn't run Great Falls of
the Potomac or similar.

Pete

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From: Niels Blaauw <niels.blaauw_at_wanadoo.nl>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Are you a member of the Kayaking community?
Date: Tue, 07 May 2002 23:35:50 -0700
When I "entered" the kayakin community, by joining a local club, I
actually thought they were a pretty strange bunch. My club features
white-water, rodeo, slalom, flat-water racing, sea- and touring
kayakkers. 

Most of them paddle boats so tippy you can't decently stand up in them.
None of their boats have storage room for a cooling box. 

Some of them can spend a whole day in a kayak without covering a
distance of even half a mile. "Rodeo" they call it.

Some spend a whole weekend of driving and camping, call it a "kayakking
trip", and spend 2.5 minutes actually paddling. Their goal, in those
minutes, are to get off the water as fast as possible. "Slalom racing".

Some think the kayaking season starts in December and ends in March.
"White water".

One paddles a boat that has not even room for a thermos. I offered to
put some bungies on his decks. He offered to kill me.

Some spend more money on safety equipment then on their paddle.

Some dress in tight rubber, with a rubber skirt that no woman would dare
wear in public.

Some paddle boats made of GLASS! They fall to pieces when you throw them
off your car! 

They called me a fool for paddling an Old Town Loon: 1 meter wide with a
comfortable chair. I used to carry no PFD or flares, but I did have an
anchor and a good book, to spend hours in that great chair, enjoying the
piece while making coffee, swimming around the boat, having a beer,
having a smoke, looking at the sky...

I KNOW that that's what's paddling all about, but I am liberal. I do not
look down on that sorry bunch of fanatics. I even bought a sea kayak to
please them.

Today the sun was out. It's spring out here! I don't have that Loon any
more, so I had to take the seayak out. The water I paddled is shallow
and warms up quickly, so I could leave my PFD and wetsuit home and
paddle in T-shirt and shorts. Every once in a while it's great to join
the majority of paddlers who think it is a safe sport. Spotted some sort
of Geese I've never seen before, seen 2 beavers up close and almost
touched the third one with my bow. It was as big as a dog! I misjudged
the tide and had to drag my boat through the mud. It came to my ancles,
but there turned out te be treacherous holes of half a meter. I was glad
I wasn't wearing my PFD: I hate to get it dirty. I paddled the last part
in almost total darkness, scaring some ducks with worse nightvision then
mine. Hmmmm, I love paddling!

Niels.
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From: Kevin Dyer <k.dyer_at_bluewin.ch>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Are you a member of the Kayaking community?
Date: Tue, 7 May 2002 23:15:52 +0200
----- Original Message -----
From: "Al Vazquez" <alvazquez_at_kayakguide.com>
Subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Are you a member of the Kayaking community?


> The bottom line is that, if you believe you're a paddler, then you're a
paddler, and welcome to the club.
> It's a community that generally welcomes everyone, and that's one thing I
> appreciate about it a great deal.
>
I agree Al, and would add that anyone upon whom people comment "what the
**** are they doing in that thing in this weather?" must be a paddler.
As a matter of fact, if it's plastic, SOF, composite, canoe, inflatable or
even their mothers bath, if they're out there paddling, it's a start. If,
like me, they are thinking about a sail, building their own boat, or seeing
other peoples' pastimes as "think how many kayaks I could have bought for
that much money", they are a paddler.
<:-)) Kevin (D), 'cos there seem to be lots of Kevins around here.



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From: Alex Ferguson <a.ferguson_at_chem.canterbury.ac.nz>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Are you a member of the Kayaking community?
Date: Wed, 08 May 2002 09:29:38 +1200
>>That gets rid of at least one person who's circumnavigated the South 
>>Island of New Zealand

>I was hoping that my sarcasm was dripping enough that everyone would have 
>recognized my posting as such. I guess I forgot that many people might not 
>know about Jeff Foxworthy

John's comment is true (worldwide postings) but it also allowed a few 
comments about what is really REAL (TM).

If you believe you are, then you are - might be as good a way as any of 
defining a paddler. Interesting though to see the numbers quoted and to 
actually think about what the numbers mean and how wildy inaccurate they 
can become.

We post to nearly 200 "members" just in Christchurch, population about 
300,000. How many are regular and how many have bought a kayak and "think" 
they are kayakers is a question. We regularly run free instruction 
weekends, 30-40 attend though a proportion of those are "instructors".

Alex
.
.

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From: <jfarrelly5_at_comcast.net>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Are you a member of the Kayaking community?
Date: Tue, 07 May 2002 20:35:09 -0400
> They called me a fool for paddling an Old Town Loon: 1 meter wide with a
> comfortable chair. I used to carry no PFD or flares, but I did have an
> anchor and a good book, to spend hours in that great chair, enjoying the
> piece while making coffee, swimming around the boat, having a beer,
> having a smoke, looking at the sky...
>
> I KNOW that that's what's paddling all about> Niels.


    I own a sexy, skinny British boat and a fat American rec boat that is
almost a yard wide.  Its more fun to use the rec boat.  Its fat and ugly but
sooner or later we all end up that way. My kids like to flip it and use it
as a diving platform while it sulks in the lake.  The deer don't mind seeing
it.  They blink and stamp their feet.  The dragonflies rest on the front.
My cooler rests on the back.  I  sit in the middle.  Its all about balance.
Zen has been established.

Jim et al


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From: Al Vazquez <alvazquez_at_kayakguide.com>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Are you a member of the Kayaking community?
Date: Tue, 07 May 2002 21:13:07 -0400
Kirk,
Of course I meant "barbarians" as a good thing. And I certainly know you would
CANOERS never use RULE your awesome list admin powers over our Paddlewise
messages YAKKERS to retaliate in this free and open DROOL forum for exchange
of CANOERS RULE ideas and philosophies YAKKERS DROOL. CANOERS RULE YAKKERS
DROOL. CANOERS RULE YAKKERS DROOL. CANOERS RULE YAKKERS DROOL. CANOERS RULE
YAKKERS DROOL. CANOERS RULE YAKKERS DROOL. CANOERS RULE YAKKERS DROOL. CANOERS
RULE YAKKERS DROOL. CANOERS RULE YAKKERS DROOL. CANOERS RULE YAKKERS DROOL.

Kirk Olsen wrote:

> At 02:20 PM 5/7/2002 -0400, Al Vazquez wrote:
> >... although as a final note, Kevlar or not, I do believe all canoers are
> >barbarians.
>
> tsk, tsk, it's not good to call the list admin names ;-)

--
Al Vazquez
KayakGuide.com tm
         Places to Paddle tm
 - Kayaking - Canoeing - Rafting -

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From: Steve Scherrer <flatpick_at_teleport.com>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Are you a member of the Kayaking community?
Date: Tue, 7 May 2002 20:36:23 -0700
Pretty sure Voyager has always built Timmy's sponsons.  They're private
labeled for Georgian Bay (or whatever his company is).

We get private labeled float bags from them, as well.

Alder Creek has tried to sell 'em for years.  We have sold maybe 3 pair in
10 yrs.

steve


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From: Doug Lloyd <dougl_at_islandnet.com>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Are you a member of the Kayaking community?
Date: Tue, 07 May 2002 23:11:07 -0700
Michael said in response to Melissa "soul sister" Reese:
<<<<
Hey - Voyageur, makers of flotation bags and waterproof stuff sacks and
gear for canoes and kayaks are now selling sponsons!  Watch out uncle
timmy, you've got competition. Mike
>>>>

From: "Melissa Reese" <melissa_at_bonnyweeboaty.net>

> PS:  Long live Sp****ns!  (oops!)

--------------
Hey guys n' gals, I just read an article about a fellow who spent a few
months drifting at sea in a raft a few years ago. In his spare time he
designed the ultimate life raft as a way of passing the time between
eating Seagulls (or whatever he ate). Having survived his ordeal, he set
about bringing his folding dream-raft into reality. It is finally in
production. It can sail, be rowed, and handles rough seas with impunity
-- due to its freeboard. And what gives it such desirable
characteristics? Yep, sp****ns! That's right, timmy's vision for the
future salvation of mankind (well, at least mariners in distress) is a
reality in the rescue-raft field. He might have the last laugh here. I
wonder if he even knows about the new design. As for months at sea,  I'd
be dreaming about brunettes, not inflatable devices.  DL

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From: Peter Staehling <staehpj1_at_yahoo.com>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Size of kayaking community?
Date: Mon, 6 May 2002 09:41:52 -0700 (PDT)
--- ralph diaz <rdiaz_at_ix.netcom.com> wrote:

I suspect you estimations based on magazine
subscriptions are probably in the right ballpark, if
you want to count folks most of us would call
paddlers.

> The 24.8 million figure for paddlers is a pipe
> dream.

Maybe not, if everyone who has paddled a canoe or
kayak at some point in their life is a paddler.  It
all depends on how you define paddler.

Pete Staehling
Chuckling to myself because this reminds me of a crude
joke that I won't repeat here.



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From: Wes Boyd <boydwe_at_dmci.net>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Size of kayaking community?
Date: Mon, 06 May 2002 13:28:50
At 11:55 AM 5/6/02 -0400, ralph diaz wrote:

>
>There is a rule of thumb used in the publishing world.  Basically you expect
>that a mature publication is doing its job if it is reaching about 10 per
>cent of its targeted audience or market.  This formula doesn't always work
>but it certainly gives you something to wrap your hands on.
>
>So a mature magazine like C&K has an audited circulation in the
>50,000-60,000 range (it is the only paddling magazine that is ABC audited,
>i.e. really audited and not with figures that include funny things).  So, it
>is probably safe to say that there are 500,000 paddlers out there of the WW,
>canoe, SK variety. 

Feels like a comfortable figure to me. Certianly a lot better than 24.8
million, and comfortably in the ball yard of my guess of 250,000. Granted,
much depends on how you define what the "paddling community" is.
Overlooking the Foxworthy cracks, I suppose you could define a threshold
number of times that a person gets out per year, say, five. Where you draw
the line is obviously going to change the figure considerably.

>To narrow down the latter look at Sea Kayaker's
>circulation.  Its circulation is not audited but just declared for purposes
>of a break in postage (they need to put a statement as do all the magazines
>indicating ownership, issues sold, freebies, etc. and this appears in an
>issue in the Fall, usually in the tiniest of prints in some back page).  If
>I recall correctly, the latest last Fall was in the 26,000 range.  But you
>may want to doctor that down a bit because it is not audited, say to 20,000.
>Multiply by 10 and you get around 200,000 sea kayakers.  

I suspect that figure is high. Again, how do you define a sea kayaker? My
gut feeling is that SK probably does a little better at market penetration
than more generalist magazines -- you floated the figure of 2 out of 10 in
your other post. That would cut the number of sea kayakers in half.
Secondly, if you assume the total number of active paddlers to be 500,000,
well, that has to include canoes of many persuasions, fisherpeople,
whitewater kayaks, rec boats, etc. Again, gut feeling, but I'd be willing
to bet that well less than 1 in 10 active paddlers can be termed sea kayakers.
>
>The 24.8 million figure for paddlers is a pipe dream.

Absolutely. In your other post you said that there has to be a figure
between 25,000 and 25 million that's pretty close to the truth. I'd narrow
that bracket considerably -- to, say, somewhere between 250,000 and 2.5
million. And I'd still bet the lower end of that range.

-- Wes
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wes Boyd's Kayak Place               http://www2.dmci.net/wesboyd/kayak.htm
Kayaks for Big Guys (And Gals) | Trip Reports | Places To Go | Boats & Gear
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

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From: John Blackburn <digipixs_at_erols.com>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Size of kayaking community?
Date: Mon, 06 May 2002 11:57:16 -0700
For what it is worth, our local kayaking club, The Chesapeake Paddlers
Association has about 550 or so members at present.  This number probably
represents a good portion of the serious kayakers in our region, although not
all of the 550 are "serious".  When you consider that the Chesapeake Bay is the
largest estuary in the US, with temperate weather conditions and a long
paddling season, that's not a lot of paddlers.  This is ture even if you double
or triple the numbers to pick up non joiners and people living far from our
membership base, which, I think, is concentrated in the northern half of the
bay.

Extrapolate this to the country at large and 250,000 looks to be overstated by
maybe a factor of 10.  Having said that, our annual training weekend for new
paddlers has grown tremendously over the past years (double and triple digit
growth with many people turned away due to lack of room and volunteer
instructors), and if the kayaking community is growing at the same rate as
interest in the training programs then 250,000 might be accurate in a few
years.

I wonder what other kayaking clubs are reporting for membership?  A total of
the membership in the various clubs in the US would give you a good handle on
the poplulation I think.

John Blackburn

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From: Joe Pylka <pylka_at_castle.net>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Size of kayaking community?
Date: Mon, 6 May 2002 11:51:42 -0400
At 10:03 PM 5/3/02 -0700, Sid Taylor wrote:


>


>How many people actually tour kayak as opposed to day trip? Are they


>competent, equiped paddlers or inexperienced and ill-equiped?


>


        I seem to remember that for this figure a paddler is defined as
someone who has been in a boat more than once in that year.  Say, 2
paddler-days.   I know that the figures for the Upper Delaware are enormous.
You get 100s and 100s of thousands of paddlers along that stretch per year.  A
large percentage are private paddlers....  


        But certainly this is not the same as the 'hard-core' paddler.  That
number is much smaller and seems to be stable.  Sales of rec kayaks and
similar boats have taken off here in NJ.  Local dealers I know say that
they've sold hundreds of SOTs, for example.  Yet there's been no increase in
club memberships to speak of.  


        BTW this seems to be changing now...  One dealer mentioned that last
year's sales were lower than the previous year and so far there hasn't been
much interest this Spring.  Maybe the market's saturated here...





Joe P.








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From: ralph diaz <rdiaz_at_ix.netcom.com>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Size of kayaking community?
Date: Mon, 6 May 2002 12:40:48 -0400
----- Original Message -----
From: "John Blackburn" <digipixs_at_erols.com>

> For what it is worth, our local kayaking club, The Chesapeake Paddlers
> Association has about 550 or so members at present.  This number probably
> represents a good portion of the serious kayakers in our region, although
not
> all of the 550 are "serious".  When you consider that the Chesapeake Bay
is the
> largest estuary in the US, with temperate weather conditions and a long
> paddling season, that's not a lot of paddlers.  This is ture even if you
double
> or triple the numbers to pick up non joiners and people living far from
our
> membership base, which, I think, is concentrated in the northern half of
the
> bay.
>
> Extrapolate this to the country at large and 250,000 looks to be
overstated by
> maybe a factor of 10.

There are two things going here: 1) the size of the kayaking community in
the Chesapeake Bay area and 2) the national figures.

Regarding Number 1, I suspect that there are way more kayakers in the Bay
than just double or triple the CPA membership list.  I say this from looking
at local clubs in this area up here and knowing just how many people not
only are not members but not even heard of the organization.  If there were
just 1,500 (your outside figure) of kayakers in the CPA area then you would
not see as many shops and touring services doing business in the area as
there are.  But maybe all this hinges on what you term "serious."  Serious
is an elusive benchmark.  Usually people tend to consider someone as serious
who is of a similar level of devotion, gear, seasoning as they are.  But
there is a much wider band than that.

Regarding Number 2.  You feel that the 250,000 figure is off by a factor of
10.  That would mean that every sea kayaker buys Sea Kayaker magazine, which
is far from true.  Again just looking around at sea kayakers who I know who
are serious enough to paddle quite regularly in quite ambitious settings and
I doubt that more than 1 or 2 in 10 get Sea Kayaker or any paddling magazine
for that matter.

There is some happy set of figures somewhere between your 25,000 sea
kayakers figure and the 24 million paddlers that the ACA says are out there.

ralph diaz



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From: Michael Daly <michaeldaly_at_rogers.com>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Size of kayaking community?
Date: Mon, 6 May 2002 14:57:04 -0400
From: "ralph diaz" <rdiaz_at_ix.netcom.com>

> There is a rule of thumb used in the publishing world.  Basically you expect
> that a mature publication is doing its job if it is reaching about 10 per
> cent of its targeted audience or market.  This formula doesn't always work
> but it certainly gives you something to wrap your hands on.

This is the kind of thing I've been looking for.  I've seen reference to this
kind of analysis before and I think it's a reasonable way to estimate given
a paucity of other info.

> To narrow down the latter look at Sea Kayaker's circulation.  [...]  But you
> may want to doctor that down a bit because it is not audited, say to 20,000.
> Multiply by 10 and you get around 200,000 sea kayakers. 

This sounds like a reasonable number of active participants in North America.
I suppose we can bump it up for non-English speaking countries and for English
countries that have their own magazines (hence low penetration by Sea Kayaker).
It would be interesting to compare this to sales of, say, composite sea kayaks
and high-end plastic SKs.

> Again this formula
> is not perfect.  Runners World for example has a circulation, I believe in
> the 100,000 range (I don't know if I have seen their box they have to
> publish in the fall but I think that figure is about right).  It would then
> suggest that there are 1 million runners but there are a lot more than that,
> i.e. people who regularly run say 2 miles and up several times a week.

This reminds me of cross country skiing in its heyday in the '70s.  It was
estimated that one out of 5 Canadians were XC skiers.  But most of them had
skis but didn't know how to ski etc.  The skis were kept at the cottage.  The
comparison was to swimmers, where 40% of Canadians (or some other huge number)
were claimed to be swimmers.  This meant counting every person who donned 
a bathing suit and entered water.  In fact, swimmers who train or do it for
exercise on a regular basis are relatively few.  Hence: 

> The 24.8 million figure for paddlers is a pipe dream.

Unless we include every person who ever sat in a paddle boat.

This is useful info, Ralph.  Thanks!

Mike
PS - my motivation is estimating sales potential for a widget that might
reasonably only interest a "serious" paddler.  Nothing real yet, just 
floating ideas.


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From: Patrick Maun <patrick_at_patrickmaun.com>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Size of kayaking community?
Date: Tue, 7 May 2002 23:52:06 +0100
Hey all,

there was as survey carried out in Minnesota last year - I believe 
it was in conjunction with the Lake Superior Water Trail Association.
The survey went out to either all registered Minnesota Canoe Association 
members or registered kayak owners (required in MN). I am sure someone 
on the list can clarify.

Anyway, the survey was pretty in depth and had questions such as 
how many times you paddled in a year, in what region, how many over 
night trips. I am sure there are some interesting figures resulting 
from the survey.

Here in the Netherlands (which is a long way from Minnesota but where 
I am currently living and answering surveys) things are very well 
organized. I think most Dutch are involved in clubs if they paddle.
The first thing they learn here is "never paddle alone", so they 
rarely do (OK, I am opening myself up to a rebuttal from Niels). 
With this exstensive organization I am sure there are some pretty 
specific numbers. 

[slight pause for surfing]

OK, I just took a look at the annual report on the Dutch National 
Canoe Union (Nederlandse Kano Bond at http://www.nkb.nl). They had 
8,300 members in the year 2000. This includes all methods of paddling 
(whitewater etc). "Canoeing" here refers to kayaing as well as "Canadian".


The NKB is the Dutch national organization. There are an additional 
93 associated paddling clubs in the country. There are many people 
I am sure that belong to local clubs but not the national organization 
(such as myself). I think my club (http://www.kvzeeburg.nl)which 
is only about a year and a half old, has about 50 members. Another 
nearby club I paddle with in Haarlem has a huge clubhouse, massive 
boat storage and hundreds of boats. A lot of them dusty.

"Serious" paddlers - I'd say there are about a dozen in both of the 
local clubs I paddle with. Although the Dutch tend to be fairly serious 
about everything they do outside.

So how does your country stack up?

-Patrick






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From: Dave Kruger <dkruger_at_pacifier.com>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Size of kayaking community?
Date: Mon, 06 May 2002 16:44:58 -0700
another way of making an estimate:

I know most of the paddlers around here ("paddler" being somebody who owns a
sea kayak and has used it at least 4-5 times that I can recall).  There are
about 40-50, using those criteria.  The total population hereabouts is about
30,000.

That makes about 0.17% sea kayak paddlers.  Double that, figuring maybe I only
know half the local paddlers.

So that's  0.34%

Apply that to the entire US population (250,000,000) and you get about 400,000
paddlers of the sea kayak variety.

I bet that is way more realistic than 21 million (or whatever it was).

I think 400,000 is high, but that's just intuition speaking.

-- 
Dave Kruger
Astoria, OR
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From: Wes Boyd <boydwe_at_dmci.net>
subject: Re: [Paddlewise] Size of kayaking community?
Date: Mon, 06 May 2002 20:50:48
At 04:44 PM 5/6/02 -0700, Dave Kruger wrote:
>another way of making an estimate:
>
>I know most of the paddlers around here ("paddler" being somebody who owns a
>sea kayak and has used it at least 4-5 times that I can recall).  There are
>about 40-50, using those criteria.  The total population hereabouts is about
>30,000.
>
>That makes about 0.17% sea kayak paddlers.  Double that, figuring maybe I
only
>know half the local paddlers.
>
>So that's  0.34%

>Apply that to the entire US population (250,000,000) and you get about
400,000
>paddlers of the sea kayak variety.

Uh, I get 850,000. However, math wasn't my strong subject.

But your figures skew high, because you are in an area where sea kayaking
is popular, at least partly because there's good places to do it in close
at hand. F'r instance, I know at one time we had one or two Kansas sea
kayakers on this echo, but not many.

Again, to use the comment I used earlier to start all this. 100,000 people
in this county. Realistically, I can think of six people that I could call
sea kayakers using your definition (three with plastic boats as their best
boat, three, including myself, with glass). That's .006% Double that,
.0012% (although I suspect that's high). Multiply by 250 million, you get
30 thousand sea kayakers.

(snip)
>
>I think 400,000 is high, but that's just intuition speaking.

So do I. 

I know someone is going to look at my numbers and scream that I don't know
math. They're right.

-- Wes
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From: Joel Curtin <jcurtin_at_KellerRohrback.com>
subject: RE: [Paddlewise] Size of kayaking community?
Date: Mon, 6 May 2002 17:18:17 -0700
My day job is at what is (to my knowledge) the worlds biggest outdoor store.  I work in the paddling department.  Last year we sold around 450 boats.  Only a dozen were whitewater. Less than (but close to) 100 were canoes.  The rest were flatwater kayaks.  I would say less than a 3rd of those were open water touring boats.  The rest were rec boats.  So if you are defining "paddler" as someone who paddles a touring boat in open water, then I would say the number is pretty low.  If you are talking about the number of folks who sit in a decked boat at least once a year, I would say there are quite a few. That's pretty much just a regional observation. I would bet that the breakdown of boat types would be quite a bit different in Minnesota, for example.
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From: Chuck Holst <cholst_at_bitstream.net>
subject: RE: [Paddlewise] Size of kayaking community?
Date: Tue, 7 May 2002 21:28:04 -0500
>That's pretty much just a regional observation. I would bet that the 
breakdown of boat types would be quite a bit different in Minnesota, for 
example.
>

Not necessarily. I was told that most of the people who buy kayaks in the 
Twin cities just want them for use on the local lakes.

Chuck Holst

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